Predictions for German Bundesliga football 2025-26

RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli: Match Preview and Betting Tip

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
St. Pauli

Kick-off: 9 May 2026, 13:30

Match Finished · Red Bull Arena

Status: Match FinishedVenue: Red Bull ArenaCity: LeipzigRound: Regular Season - 33Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany
Authorfootballpredictions24 editorial team

Football analysis, betting education and bookmaker review updates from the footballpredictions24 editorial desk.

Published: 09 May 2026Updated: 11 Aug 2026

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Prediction snapshot

Winner : RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

150%Home
X50%Draw
20%Away
att77%23%
def61%39%
h2h62%38%
form86%14%
goals64%36%
total71.7%28.3%

Head-to-head

FC St. Pauli 1-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga · 27 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig 2-0 FC St. PauliBundesliga · 09 Feb 2025
RB Leipzig 4-2 FC St. PauliDFB Pokal · 29 Oct 2024
FC St. Pauli 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga · 22 Sept 2024
FC St. Pauli 1-0 RB Leipzig2. Bundesliga · 12 Feb 2016

Match preview

Fixture: RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Date and Time: May 9, 14:30 (London Time) Recommended Bet: RB Leipzig Individual Total Over 2.0 (Odds: 1.50) St. Pauli’s ultra-defensive tactical setup has only managed to secure points in brief, inconsistent spells. The "Pirat

Fixture: RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli

Date and Time: May 9, 14:30 (London Time)

Recommended Bet: RB Leipzig Individual Total Over 2.0 (Odds: 1.50)

St. Pauli’s ultra-defensive tactical setup has only managed to secure points in brief, inconsistent spells. The "Pirates" struggle significantly when forced to take the initiative on the pitch, currently suffering from the league's least effective offensive output.

Facing a powerhouse like RB Leipzig, St. Pauli’s "closed" style is likely to be pushed to its limits. Leipzig is expected to dominate the tempo and exploit the visitors' inability to maintain pressure, making a high-scoring performance from the home side the most probable outcome.

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Last 5 form: 80%Attack: 63%Defence: 56%League run: DWWLWWWWWL
  • Played 32, won 19
  • Clean sheets: 11
  • Failed to score: 3

Recent matches

@ Bayer Leverkusen · 1-4Bundesliga · 02 May 2026
vs Union Berlin · 3-1Bundesliga · 24 Apr 2026
@ Eintracht Frankfurt · 3-1Bundesliga · 18 Apr 2026
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 1-0Bundesliga · 11 Apr 2026
@ Werder Bremen · 2-1Bundesliga · 04 Apr 2026

Standings (fragment)

#TeamPGF-GAPts
2Borussia Dortmund3470-3473
3RB Leipzig3466-4765
4VfB Stuttgart3471-4962

Injuries & availability

PlayerStatusDetails
E. BanzuziMissing FixtureKnee Injury
V. GebelMissing FixtureKnee Injury
S. SaniMissing FixtureHip Injury
L. ZingerleMissing FixtureWrist Injury
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Last 5 form: 13%Attack: 19%Defence: 31%League run: WWDLLDLDLL
  • Played 32, won 6
  • Clean sheets: 5
  • Failed to score: 13

Recent matches

vs FSV Mainz 05 · 1-2Bundesliga · 03 May 2026
@ 1. FC Heidenheim · 0-2Bundesliga · 25 Apr 2026
vs 1. FC Köln · 1-1Bundesliga · 17 Apr 2026
vs Bayern München · 0-5Bundesliga · 11 Apr 2026
@ Union Berlin · 1-1Bundesliga · 05 Apr 2026

Standings (fragment)

#TeamPGF-GAPts
171. FC Heidenheim3441-7226
18FC St. Pauli3429-6026

Injuries & availability

PlayerStatusDetails
R. JonesMissing FixtureAnkle Injury
K. MetsMissing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Pereira LageMissing FixtureKnee Injury
M. SaliakasMissing FixtureMuscle Injury
J. SandsMissing FixtureAnkle Injury

Post-match snapshot

Score: 2-1

  • 19' Castello Lukeba - Yellow Card
  • 45' X. Schlager - Normal Goal
  • 50' Christoph Baumgartner - Yellow Card
  • 54' W. Orban - Normal Goal
  • 64' L. Ritzka - Substitution 1
MetricRB LeipzigSt. Pauli
Shots on Goal53
Shots off Goal63
Total Shots138
Blocked Shots22
Shots insidebox84
Shots outsidebox54

Responsible betting

Odds and availability change — always confirm on the bookmaker site. Stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Editorial match pages are independent reviews. Odds and availability change — verify on the bookmaker site.

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