The new English Premier League season promises to be one of the most exciting in the tournament’s history. After the return to the elite of English football of three newcomers — Leeds United, Sunderland and Burnley — the balance of power has changed dramatically. Bookmakers have already set their lines on the main outcomes of the season, and the analysis of odds shows an interesting picture of the fight for the title and survival.
Main Season Favorites
The battle for the championship title in the 2025-26 season promises to be extremely tense, with three clear contenders for gold. Bookmakers see minimal gap between top teams, which speaks to high competition in the upper part of the table.
Liverpool confidently heads the list of favorites with an average odds of around 3.0. Arne Slot’s team has retained the core of last season and seriously strengthened in key positions. Stability of play and squad depth make the “Reds” the main contenders for the trophy.
Arsenal follows with a small gap (odds 3.2-3.5). The “Gunners” continue to build a long-term project under Arteta’s leadership and have one of the youngest and most promising squads in the league. Experience of fighting for the title in previous seasons should play in their favor.
Manchester City (odds around 4.0) remains a serious force despite possible personnel changes. Guardiola continues to surprise with tactical innovations, and the club’s financial capabilities allow attracting top players.
An interesting situation develops with Chelsea (odds 8-10). The “Blues” after turbulent seasons have stabilized the situation and could become the dark horse of the championship. The large gap in odds from the top-3 creates value for long-term bets.
| Team | Mostbet | 1xBet/22Bet/MelBet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 3.2 | 2.95 | 2.87 |
| Arsenal | 3.5 | 3.22 | 3.25 |
| Manchester City | 4 | 3.86 | 4.00 |
| Chelsea | 10 | 7.8 | 10.00 |
| Manchester United | 35 | 26 | 41.00 |
| Newcastle | 25 | 30 | 34.00 |
| Tottenham | 70 | 50 | 51.00 |
| Aston Villa | 70 | 65 | 67.00 |
| Everton | 650 | 100 | 501.00 |
| Fulham | 600 | 100 | 751.00 |
| West Ham | 600 | 100 | 751.00 |
| Nottingham Forest | 200 | 100 | 201.00 |
| Brighton | 200 | 100 | 151.00 |
| Crystal Palace | 600 | 100 | 751.00 |
| Bournemouth | 400 | 100 | 351.00 |
| Brentford | 999 | 100 | 1001.00 |
| Leeds United | 999 | 100 | 751.00 |
| Sunderland | 999 | 100 | 1001.00 |
| Burnley | 999 | 100 | 1001.00 |
| Wolverhampton | 999 | 100 | 1001.00 |
Top 4 Positions
The top-4 market is traditionally one of the most popular among bettors, as there are more options for betting and higher predictability compared to the title race. Odds analysis shows a clear division of teams into groups by their chances.
The top three favorites — Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City — have odds in the range of 1.11-1.25, which essentially means guaranteed top-4 qualification according to bookmakers. Such low odds speak to high confidence in the stability of these teams.
Chelsea with odds of 1.6-1.85 is considered a very likely candidate for fourth place. The club’s stabilization process under new leadership gives grounds for optimism.
The battle for the last place will unfold between Newcastle (odds 2.7-2.75), Aston Villa and Manchester United (both 5.0). The “Magpies” have an advantage thanks to new owners’ investments, but European tournaments may distract the team from domestic affairs.
The position of Manchester United with odds of 5.0 is curious — this reflects uncertainty around the club after coaching staff changes and all the turmoil of last season.
| Team | Mostbet | 1xBet/22Bet/MelBet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Arsenal | 1.19 | 1.2 | 1.20 |
| Manchester City | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Chelsea | 1.85 | 1.67 | 1.61 |
| Newcastle | 2.7 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Aston Villa | 5.5 | 5 | 5.00 |
| Manchester United | 5 | 5 | 5.00 |
| Tottenham | 6 | 6 | 6.00 |
| Brighton | 18 | 20 | 17.00 |
| Nottingham Forest | 22 | 20 | 26.00 |
| Bournemouth | 25 | 25 | 26.00 |
| West Ham | 40 | 35 | 41.00 |
| Fulham | 40 | 40 | 41.00 |
| Crystal Palace | 40 | 35 | 26.00 |
| Everton | 50 | 25 | 26.00 |
| Brentford | 55 | 50 | 51.00 |
| Wolverhampton | 55 | 65 | 67.00 |
| Leeds United | 150 | 100 | 101.00 |
| Sunderland | 250 | 100 | 201.00 |
| Burnley | 250 | 100 | 201.00 |
Main Relegation Contenders from EPL
The relegation market from the Premier League always attracts analysts’ attention, as sporting ambitions and financial realities of clubs intersect here. The return of three teams from the Championship hasn’t significantly changed the balance in the lower part of the table.
Absolute outsiders according to bookmakers are the league newcomers. Burnley and Sunderland have practically identical relegation odds (1.36-1.37), which speaks to extremely low chances of survival. Both teams will face serious adaptation problems to Premier League level after a season in the Championship.
Leeds United (odds 1.9-2.0) is considered the third main relegation candidate, despite the club’s rich history. Returning to the elite after a long absence is always fraught with difficulties, and competition in the league has grown significantly.
The risk zone includes several unexpected teams. Wolverhampton and Brentford (odds 4.3) after several successful seasons in the Premier League may face problems due to limited budget and loss of key players.
The position of traditionally solid mid-table teams is interesting. Everton and Fulham (odds 8.0) have experience fighting for survival, but their stability may be disrupted by personnel changes.
It’s telling that bookmakers practically don’t consider the possibility of top clubs’ relegation — even Manchester City has symbolic odds of 21.0, which rather reflects formality than real risk assessment.
| Team | Mostbet | 1xBet/22Bet/MelBet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.37 | 1.364 | 1.36 |
| Sunderland | 1.3 | 1.364 | 1.36 |
| Leeds United | 2 | 1.909 | 1.90 |
| Wolverhampton | 4 | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| Brentford | 4.5 | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| West Ham | 7 | 6.5 | 6.50 |
| Everton | 8 | 8 | 8.00 |
| Fulham | 8 | 8 | 8.00 |
| Crystal Palace | 9 | 8 | 8.00 |
| Nottingham Forest | 11 | 10 | 10.00 |
| Bournemouth | 12 | 10 | 10.00 |
| Brighton | 17 | 17 | 17.00 |
| Manchester City | - | 21 | 21.00 |
| Manchester United | - | 26 | 26.00 |
| Tottenham | - | 41 | 41.00 |
| Chelsea | - | 100 | 101.00 |
| Arsenal | - | 100 | 1001.00 |
| Liverpool | - | 100 | 1001.00 |
| Newcastle | - | 100 | 201.00 |
| Aston Villa | - | 100 | 151.00 |
Player of the Season Odds
The Player of the Year market traditionally reflects not only individual mastery of footballers, but also expectations regarding team achievements. This season bookmakers highlight several bright contenders representing different playing roles and styles.
Bukayo Saka (odds 7.50) heads the favorites list, which is logical considering his role in Arsenal’s team and consistent progression in recent seasons. The English winger combines productivity with creativity, and young age allows him to continue developing. Bookmakers clearly link his chances with the “Gunners'” title fight.
Liverpool newcomer Florian Wirtz (8.00) is highly rated — the German midfielder whose appearance in EPL became a real sensation of the transfer window.
Cole Palmer and Phil Foden (both 9.00) represent the new generation of English talents. Palmer continues to impress at Chelsea, demonstrating maturity beyond his years, while Foden remains a key figure in Guardiola’s system.
Declan Rice’s (10.00) presence among favorites is interesting — a central midfielder rarely wins individual awards, but his influence on Arsenal’s game is hard to overestimate. Similarly with Virgil van Dijk (13.00), whose leadership could be decisive for Liverpool.
Mohamed Salah and Erling Haaland (both 10.00) remain the league’s main goalscorers, but their odds reflect increased competition and possible team problems.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka | 7.50 |
| Florian Wirtz | 8.00 |
| Cole Palmer | 9.00 |
| Phil Foden | 9.00 |
| Declan Rice | 10.00 |
| Erling Haaland | 10.00 |
| Mohamed Salah | 10.00 |
| Alexander Isak | 11.00 |
| Alexis Mac Allister | 11.00 |
| Virgil Van Dijk | 13.00 |
| Rodri (Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante) | 15.00 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 17.00 |
| Martin Zubimendi | 17.00 |
| Hugo Ekitike | 19.00 |
| Bruno Fernandes | 26.00 |
| Eberechi Eze | 26.00 |
| Matheus Cunha | 34.00 |
| William Saliba | 34.00 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | 41.00 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 41.00 |
| Noni Madueke | 41.00 |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 51.00 |
Most Assists Season Odds
The most assists market has gained special popularity in recent years, as it reflects the evolution of modern football towards team play and creativity. Odds analysis shows the dominance of attacking players capable of creating moments for partners.
Bukayo Saka and Mohamed Salah share the lead with identical odds of 3.75. This is telling — both players combine personal productivity with the ability to create scoring opportunities. Saka, thanks to his position as right winger in Arsenal’s system, has many opportunities for crosses and through balls, while Salah uses his speed and technical mastery to create numerical advantage.
Florian Wirtz (5.50) appears in the top again, confirming his status as one of the most creative midfielders in the world. His game vision and pass accuracy make him a natural candidate for assists leadership.
Cole Palmer (6.50) demonstrates versatility — the ability to both score and create goals. His adaptation to English football has been exceptionally successful, and bookmakers expect continued progress.
Bruno Fernandes (10.00) stands out noticeably — the Portuguese maestro is traditionally one of EPL leaders in key passes, despite Manchester United’s general problems.
The presence of young talents like Savinho (21.00) and Anthony Elanga (23.00) is curious, which speaks to bookmakers’ bet on the breakthrough of a new generation of players.
Martin Ødegaard (26.00) has relatively high odds for a title-contending team captain, which may reflect his inclination toward deeper play in Arsenal’s new tactical scheme.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka | 3.75 |
| Mohamed Salah | 3.75 |
| Florian Wirtz | 5.50 |
| Cole Palmer | 6.50 |
| Bruno Fernandes | 10.00 |
| Savinho | 21.00 |
| Anthony Elanga | 23.00 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 26.00 |
| Morgan Rogers | 26.00 |
| Rayan Cherki | 26.00 |
| Pedro Neto | 29.00 |
| James Maddison | 34.00 |
| Matheus Cunha | 34.00 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 34.00 |
| Declan Rice | 41.00 |
| Heung-Min Son | 41.00 |
| Eberechi Eze | 51.00 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 51.00 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | 51.00 |
| Phil Foden | 51.00 |
| Enzo Fernandez | 67.00 |
| Jeremy Doku | 67.00 |
EPL Clubs Summer Transfer Campaign
The 2025 transfer window became one of the most active in Premier League history. Total spending by top clubs exceeded one billion euros, reflecting increased competition and teams’ desire to strengthen their positions. Transfer activity analysis provides important keys for understanding the balance of power in the upcoming season and adjusting betting strategies.
Liverpool: Squad Revolution
Liverpool became the undisputed leader of the transfer window, spending a record €308.68 million for the club. This sum exceeds the “Reds'” spending over the three previous summers combined, indicating a cardinal change in transfer policy.
Florian Wirtz for €125 million — the main sensation of the summer and the most expensive player in club history. The 22-year-old German is considered one of the best young talents in the world, and his transfer significantly strengthens Liverpool’s creative line. This transfer explains the low odds on Wirtz in the “Best Player of the Season” nomination (8.00).
Hugo Ekitike for €95 million — another large-scale attacking reinforcement. The French striker should become an alternative or partnership option for the team’s main forwards.
Jeremie Frimpong for €40 million solves the right flank defense problem, while Milos Kerkez for €46.9 million strengthens the left side. Such investments in defense show a comprehensive approach to squad strengthening.
The scale of transfer investments explains Liverpool’s status as main title favorite (odds 2.87-3.2) and practically guaranteed top-4 place.
Chelsea: Youth Investment
Chelsea continues its squad rejuvenation policy, spending €243.77 million exclusively on players no older than 23. This strategy reflects the new management’s long-term planning.
The main focus is on attacking reinforcement: Jamie Gittens (€64.3 million), João Pedro (€63.7 million), Liam Delap (€35.5 million) and Estêvão (€34 million) should solve last season’s scoring problems. Interestingly, three of four new strikers already have Club World Cup experience.
Sales of €121.48 million partially compensate expenses, showing more balanced transfer policy compared to previous windows.
Such investments strengthen Chelsea’s position as one of the top-4 favorites (odds 1.61-1.85), but fighting for the title may require time for young players’ adaptation.
Arsenal: Targeted Reinforcements
Arsenal demonstrates a more conservative but purposeful approach to transfers. The purchase of Martin Zubimendi for €70 million solves the long-standing defensive midfield problem and gives the team needed stability in midfield.
Transfers of Noni Madueke (€55.4 million) and Kepa Arrizabalaga (€5.8 million) from Chelsea show a pragmatic approach — buying players already adapted to English football.
Victor Djökeresch for €73.5 million becomes a key defensive reinforcement, especially important for a team with title ambitions.
Relatively modest spending (third place among top-6) while maintaining high title odds (3.22-3.5) creates interesting value for betting on the “Gunners.”
Manchester United: Rebuild Without European Cups
Manchester United conducts substantial squad reconstruction despite absence from European competitions. Bryan Mbeumo for €75 million and Matheus Cunha for €74.2 million — two key reinforcements that should return productivity to the team.
Curiously, the club invests in proven EPL players, which may accelerate adaptation. The absence of sales so far speaks to a desire to maintain squad depth.
High odds for top-4 qualification (5.0) with such investments look generous from bookmakers.
Manchester City: Guardiola System Evolution
Manchester City traditionally acts measured in the transfer market. Tijani Reijnders (€55 million), Rayan Aït-Nouri (€36.8 million) and Rayan Cherki (€36.5 million) — reinforcements that perfectly fit Guardiola’s philosophy.
The newcomers’ Club World Cup participation shows their readiness for high level, important for a team with such ambitions.
Tottenham: Stability Fight
Tottenham focused on strengthening key positions. Mohammed Kudus for €63.8 million adds creativity in attack, while the buyout of Mathys Tel (€35 million) and Kevin Danso (€25 million) shows satisfaction with their loan results.
Investments in young defenders speak to future planning, important for a club striving for top-6 stability.
