Match Overview
The 2nd round Bundesliga fixture between Wolfsburg and Mainz is scheduled for August 31st at the Volkswagen Arena. This detailed preview offers an in-depth analysis and key betting insights for the Wolfsburg – Mainz encounter, incorporating current coefficients and team statistics.
Wolfsburg’s Current Form
Paula Simonis’ squad commenced their campaign with an impressive 3-1 away victory over Heidenheim in the opening matchday. This triumph marks Wolfsburg’s second consecutive win in the Bundesliga. Remarkably, it’s the first time in their last 18 league games that the team has successfully netted more than two goals. Despite their offensive display, keeping a clean sheet remains a challenge, as they have conceded in 13 of their last 14 Bundesliga outings. Wolfsburg currently holds three points, positioning them within the league’s top-4.
Home Performance Analysis
- The team has struggled to secure a win in their last eight home Bundesliga matches, recording 5 draws and 3 losses.
- Both competing teams have found the net in 8 of Wolfsburg’s last 11 home league fixtures.
- Interestingly, Wolfsburg has conceded more than a single goal in only 5 of their last 7 home Bundesliga encounters.
Wolfsburg’s Probable Lineup
Kamil Grabara – Kilian Fischer, Moritz Jenz, Konstantinos Koulierakis, Aaron Zehnter – Patrick Wimmer, Vinicius, Lovro Majer, Maximilian Arnold, Andreas Olsen – Denan Pejčinović.
Team News: Wolfsburg Injuries
Defender Denis Vavro and midfielder Kevin Paredes are both ruled out due to injuries.
Mainz’s Recent Performance
Bo Henriksen’s side faced a challenging start, losing 0-1 at home to Cologne in the first round. This defeat extends Mainz’s winless streak to nine matches in their last ten Bundesliga outings, encompassing 5 draws and 4 losses. Furthermore, the club has now conceded goals in 12 consecutive league matches. Currently, the team occupies the 14th position in the league table.
Away Game Statistics for Mainz
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of the club’s last 6 away Bundesliga matches.
- Mainz has conceded in each of their last six away league fixtures.
- They have been trailing at halftime in 6 of their last 9 away Bundesliga games.
Mainz’s Projected Starting XI
Robin Zentner – Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr – Anthony Caci, Nadiem Amiri, Keishu Sano, Philipp Mwene – Paul Nebel, Benedict Hollerbach, Lee Jae-sung.
Mainz Team News: Absentees
Forward Benedict Hollerbach will miss the match due to an injury. Midfielder Paul Nebel is unavailable due to suspension.
The Man in Charge: Referee Profile
Sören Storks (Germany)
Referee Statistics (2024/25 Bundesliga)
Matches officiated – 12;
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties awarded – 17%.
Match Prediction: Wolfsburg vs Mainz
In the previous season, Wolfsburg showcased a highly active offense in their home games, regularly finding the back of the net. Across 17 home matches in the last Bundesliga campaign, the team failed to score on only three occasions and netted at least two goals in eight of those encounters. Concurrently, over their last 11 home league fixtures, Wolfsburg managed just one clean sheet, conceding a total of 18 goals during this period.
Mainz’s Offensive and Defensive Patterns
Mainz also possesses a potent attack and rarely struggles to break down opposing defenses, even on the road. In their last seven away Bundesliga matches, the team was kept scoreless only twice, with one of those instances being against powerhouse Bayern Munich. Furthermore, Mainz scored at least two goals in four of these games. However, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six away league outings, conceding a combined total of 11 goals during that span.
Final Betting Tip
Considering the strong offensive capabilities of both sides coupled with their defensive vulnerabilities, I anticipate a goal-filled encounter. My final prediction for this match is: “Total Goals Over 2.5” with odds of 1.75
Author’s Note
This prediction was prepared by Dmitry Shchurko.
Statistical Note
* The starting lineup listed for each team reflects their formation in their previous match in this tournament.