Match Overview

The highly anticipated seventh-round fixture of the PARI First League (FNL) will see Ufa host Chayka on August 30th at the Neftyanik Stadium. This comprehensive preview offers a detailed match prediction, unique betting insights, and key statistical analysis for the Ufa vs Chayka encounter.

FC Ufa Overview

Recent Form and League Standing

Under the guidance of Omari Tetradze, FC Ufa faced a setback in their recent away fixture, succumbing to KAMAZ with a 1:3 defeat. Their campaign so far has been challenging, marked by a solitary win, complemented by two draws and three losses. A concerning aspect of their performance is their meager three goals scored, making them the least prolific team in the league. Consequently, Ufa currently sits in the 12th spot in the standings. Despite their offensive struggles, the team boasts a commendable defensive record, holding the second-best goals-conceded tally (6) among clubs in the bottom half of the table.

Key Statistics for Ufa

• In 5 out of Ufa’s last 7 FNL encounters, at least one side failed to find the back of the net.
• Playing on their home turf, Ufa has demonstrated resilience, avoiding defeat in 6 of their previous 7 league matches, securing four victories and two draws.
• Furthermore, their defensive solidity at home is evident, as they have conceded no more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 home fixtures in this competition.

Ufa’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Anticipated Starting XI

The probable starting XI for Ufa is expected to feature: Alexander Belenov in goal; a defensive line of Danil Akhatov, Alexander Tenyaev, Alan Khabalov, and Evgeniy Shlyakov; a midfield five comprising Zalimkhan Yusupov, Migran Ageyan, Konstantin Troyanov, Nikita Matskharashvili, and Shamil Isaev; with Osman Minatulaev leading the attack.

FC Chayka Overview

Recent Performance and Standings

Chayka, often referred to as the Peschanokoptsy, suffered a significant 0:3 home defeat to Arsenal in their most recent fixture, prolonging their winless run in the league to five matches, encompassing three draws and two losses. This game also marked the first time in their last four FNL outings that Dmitry Kombarov’s squad failed to score. Alarmingly, Chayka registered no shots on target against Tula, starkly contrasting their season average of 3.3. Currently, the team holds the 9th position in the league table.

Chayka’s Key Statistics

• Chayka has struggled offensively, scoring no more than a single goal in 8 of their last 10 First League matches.
• Despite recent struggles, Chayka has shown resilience on the road, remaining unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 FNL away games, with one win and four draws.
• Their away matches tend to be low-scoring affairs, with fewer than three goals registered in 5 of their last 6 league fixtures on the road.

Chayka’s Predicted Lineup (4-4-2)

Anticipated Starting XI

The anticipated starting formation for Chayka (4-4-2) includes: Ivan Sorochinskiy between the posts; a defense featuring Dmitriy Ivannikov, Bogdan Rogochiy, Artem Krutovskikh, and Dmitriy Kaptilovich; a midfield quartet of Ivan Markelov, Daniil Stolyarov, Nikolay Ishchenko, and Artem Sokolov; with Stanislav Biblik and Gleb Popolitov leading the attack upfront.

Match Official

Referee Information

Nikolay Voloshin (Russia)

Referee Statistics: Matches Officiated

Matches officiated – 11 (First League, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Referee Statistics: Cards

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;

Referee Statistics: Average Yellow Cards

Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;

Referee Statistics: Red Cards

Red cards shown – 1;

Referee Statistics: Fouls

Average fouls per match – 25;

Referee Statistics: Penalties

Penalties awarded – 9%.

Ufa vs Chayka Match Prediction

Chayka’s Recent Decline

Chayka, despite garnering positive attention early in the championship, appears to be experiencing a dip in form. In the fifth round, they conceded a victory to Shinnik, ending their opponent’s prolonged winless run, and in their most recent match, Dmitry Kombarov’s side endured a significant loss to Arsenal, a team not typically known for their offensive prowess. Notably, both these recent defeats occurred on Chayka’s home ground. Their away form is also a concern, as they have failed to secure a win in 11 of their last 12 FNL away fixtures, recording six draws and five losses.

Ufa’s Home Advantage

While Ufa has struggled on their travels, their home performances paint a different picture, showcasing significantly more confidence. Omari Tetradze’s men have remained undefeated in 6 of their last 7 home league fixtures, achieving four wins and one draw, and even managing to score in their sole home defeat during this period. I anticipate Ufa will pose considerable challenges to Chayka’s defense, which has recently demonstrated vulnerabilities, conceding five goals in their last two rounds against relatively modest attacking teams.

Final Prediction

Factoring in these observations, my primary prediction is that Ufa will avoid defeat, and the match will see over 1.5 goals scored.

Author Information

Author: Алексей Тарабрин