Italy U21 — Montenegro U21 : Match Preview and Prediction for September 05,2025
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Match Overview
The fixture features Italy U21 against Montenegro U21 as part of the UEFA European U21 Championship 2027 Qualification, Group Stage. The match is scheduled for 2025-09-05 at 19:15 Moscow time.Italy U21 Team Analysis
Italy U21
New Leadership and Initial Caution
Let’s start with the hosts, Italy U21. The “Azzurrini” are now under new management, with Silvio Baldini making his official debut. The first match of a new qualification cycle always carries an element of caution, and this sentiment is doubled when a team also has a new coach. Baldini faces the task of building the team’s play from scratch, a process that inherently requires time.Squad Overhaul and Lack of Cohesion
The squad has undergone a radical transformation. Only a handful of players from the previous European Championship remain. Essentially, we are witnessing an entirely new national team, where connections between players are still forming, and tactical schemes are yet to be fully refined. Expecting a goal-fest from such a collective in their opening game would be overly optimistic.Injury Concerns and Attacking Setbacks
Furthermore, the squad is weakened by injuries. Several key players, including striker Francesco Camarda, are sidelined due to various issues. Losing an attacking player right at the start of the qualifiers directly impacts the team’s offensive potential. All these factors contribute to the overall picture of a team in transition and still finding its footing.Historical Low-Scoring Trends
Now, let’s look at the facts. Italy U21’s recent official matches at the final Euro 2025 were notably low-scoring. They secured 1-0 victories against Slovakia and Romania, and a 1-1 draw with Spain. Even their more eventful match against Germany (2-2) was characterized by a tight and intense struggle. A significant trend that cannot be ignored is that in 10 out of Italy U21’s last 12 home games, fewer than three goals were scored in total.Current Group Standings: Italy U21
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Italy U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
2
North Macedonia U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
3
Montenegro U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
Promotion – U21 Euro
Best-ranked second-place teams
Montenegro U21 Team Analysis
Montenegro U21
Cautious Approach Against Favorites
Now, let’s turn our attention to the visitors. Montenegro U21 is a team that avoids rash decisions, especially when facing stronger opponents. Their playing style does not typically involve open, free-flowing football with numerous scoring opportunities. An analysis of their recent results firmly supports this assessment.Recent Performances and Tactical Style
Their most recent friendly match against Turkey concluded with a 1-1 draw. In the qualifiers for the previous Euro, they lost to Finland 1-2, a result that aligns with our predicted low total goals. Montenegrins are capable of creating difficulties for their adversaries but do not often excel in attack themselves.Head-to-Head and Consistent Low Scores
The history of head-to-head encounters reinforces this view. The last two clashes during the Euro 2023 qualifiers ended with a 1-0 victory for Italy and a 1-1 draw. On both occasions, Montenegro engaged in a tenacious, grinding battle and prevented Italy from securing a dominant win. The statistics are clear: in 12 out of Montenegro U21’s last 15 matches, the total goals scored did not exceed 3.5.Current Group Standings: Montenegro U21
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Italy U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
2
North Macedonia U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
3
Montenegro U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
4
Poland U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
5
Sweden U21
0
0
0
0
0-0
0
Promotion – U21 Euro
Best-ranked second-place teams
Mark Thompson