Match Overview

The inaugural group stage match of the 2025/26 campaign will see Italian side Fiorentina face Czech club Sigma Olomouc. This fixture is scheduled for October 2nd at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence. This preview offers an in-depth analysis of the Fiorentina vs Sigma Olomouc encounter, including a unique prediction, key statistics, and betting insights.

Fiorentina Analysis

Team Form and European Pedigree

The Italian club began their European journey in the playoff rounds, successfully overcoming Polissya with an aggregate score of 6-2 (3-0, 3-2). As a result, Fiorentina will compete in the group stage for the fourth consecutive season. Notably, in their three previous appearances in this European competition, the team has consistently reached at least the semi-finals. Their impressive scoring streak in the extends to 16 consecutive matches.

Key Fiorentina Home Stats

• Fiorentina has secured victories in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the .
• A minimum of four goals have been scored in 5 of the club’s last 6 home fixtures in this European competition.
• The Italian side has found the net at least twice in their last nine home outings.

Fiorentina’s Provisional Lineup (3-5-2)*

David De Gea – Pablo Mari, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Jacopo Fazzini, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Robin Gosens – Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Team Absences and Suspensions

Defender Tariq Lamptey and forward Christian Kouame are unavailable due to injuries. Striker Moise Kean is suspended.

Sigma Olomouc Analysis

Sigma Olomouc’s European Journey

In the current European club season, the Czech team initiated their campaign in the Europa League qualification playoff rounds but were unable to progress past Malmö, losing 0-3 and 0-2 for a combined 0-5. Consequently, Sigma Olomouc has now suffered four consecutive defeats in European club tournaments, failing to score a single goal during this period. It’s worth noting that the club has never previously participated in the main draw of any major European competition. Their most significant achievement on the European stage remains reaching the UEFA Cup quarter-finals in the 1991/92 season.

Key Sigma Olomouc European Stats

• At least one team has failed to score in 5 of the club’s last 6 European fixtures.
• No more than three goals have been scored in the team’s last six matches in European competitions.

Sigma Olomouc’s Provisional Lineup (4-5-1)*

Jan Koutny – Filip Slavicek, Abdoulaye Sylla, Jan Kral, Jiri Slama – Artur Dolzhnikov, Radim Breite, David Tkac, Michal Beran, Simon Mischez – Daniel Vasulin.

Team Absences

Defender Jan Kral will miss the match due to injury.

Match Referee Profile

Referee Statistics

Florian Badstübner (Germany)

Matches officiated – 16 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 19%.

Fiorentina – Sigma Olomouc Match Prediction

Fiorentina’s Home Dominance

Participation in the has become a regular fixture for Fiorentina, and the team consistently progresses deep into the tournament bracket. At home, the Italian side frequently achieves maximum results, showcasing an exciting attacking style of play. In their last nine home matches in the , the club has never failed to score at least twice, and in six of those instances, the Florentine team netted a minimum of three goals.

Sigma Olomouc’s Recent Struggles

Sigma Olomouc has not been a regular participant in European competitions for some time. In the current Europa League qualifiers, they offered little resistance against Malmö, conceding a total of five goals over two legs against the Swedish side. Furthermore, over the past week, the team has played two domestic fixtures in the Czech championship and national cup, allowing their opponents to score a combined five goals. Notably, in their cup tie, Sigma conceded three goals to an opponent from the Czech fourth division.

Final Prediction

Considering these factors, I believe the visiting team will likely concede several goals in this encounter. Therefore, my prediction is: Fiorentina Individual Total Over 2.0 goals with odds of 1.62.

Important Note on Lineups

* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match is indicated.