Sabah vs Levski Sofia

Sabah
Sabah, in contrast to their upcoming adversaries, had yet to kick off their domestic league season. Consequently, following their pre-season preparations, they were plunged directly into the initial qualifying stage of the Europa League. The Azerbaijani club found themselves rather fortunate with their initial opponent, NK Celje. Head coach Valdas Dambrauskas’s squad encouraged the Slovenians to engage in an expansive, attacking style of play, which Celje readily embraced. The outcome was an astonishing 11 goals scored over two thrilling encounters. Ultimately, Celje progressed, largely due to their crucial away victory, with aggregate scores of 3-2 and 3-3 in the respective legs. Following their elimination from the Europa League, Sabah’s focus shifted to securing a place in the Conference League. The second round posed no significant challenge, as they comfortably overcame Petrocub twice, with scores of 2-0 and 4-1. However, their subsequent challenge was a clash with Levski Sofia, against whom they suffered a 0-1 away defeat. It became immediately apparent that when the Bulgarian side adopted a more closed-off, defensive approach, the Azerbaijani team struggled immensely.

Levski Sofia
Levski’s domestic league season commenced in spectacular fashion, as they secured victories in all four opening matches, boasting an impressive 11-2 aggregate scoreline. A fortunate fixture list certainly played a role, with three of these four encounters taking place on home soil, coupled with the relative strength of their adversaries: Montana (5-0), Septemvri (2-1), Slavia (2-0), and Spartak Varna (2-1). The Bulgarian side also embarked on their European journey in the Europa League, successfully navigating two preliminary rounds. While their first challenge was Hapoel Be’er Sheva, whom they only narrowly overcame via a penalty shootout (0-0, 1-1 aet, 3-1 pens), a much tougher test awaited them in the form of Braga. Surprisingly, they managed to hold Braga to a goalless draw at home (0-0), but in Portugal, they ultimately succumbed to a narrow yet painful 0-1 defeat. Upon their entry into the Conference League, Julio Velazquez’s squad, as previously noted, drew Sabah. In their initial home fixture, Levski secured a well-deserved victory, effectively nullifying their opponents’ attacking threats. However, it’s clear they ought to have capitalized on more of their ample scoring opportunities at home. Assessing Levski’s away form proves challenging, given they’ve only had three road games: a victory over Septemvri, a draw against Hapoel, and a defeat to the formidable Braga.
Bookmakers have justifiably tipped the scales in favor of the visitors, who exhibit greater consistency, with their only recent defeat coming against a strong Braga side in Portugal. Sabah’s squad undeniably possesses less individual quality compared to the Bulgarians, and even within Azerbaijan, they are not considered a top-tier team. A significant disadvantage for the hosts is their struggle against well-organized opponents, a weakness highlighted by their complete lack of impact in the first leg against Levski. I anticipate the Bulgarians will not arrive intending to play passively or cede possession to the home side. Julio Velazquez’s squad is perfectly capable of imposing their style of play on Sabah, dictating the terms of the match. Furthermore, given their narrow one-goal advantage, there’s no reason for them to simply defend their lead. While I wouldn’t go as far as to predict an outright away victory, a ‘draw no bet’ or ‘zero handicap’ on the visitors appears to be a very sound and logical choice.