Match Overview: Qarabag vs Copenhagen
This highly anticipated match of the 2nd round in the 2025/26 group stage will see Azerbaijan’s Qarabag take on Denmark’s Copenhagen on October 1st. The venue for this clash is the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku. Here’s a detailed look at the prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for the Qarabag vs Copenhagen encounter.
Team Analysis: Qarabag
Qarabag’s Impressive Start and Form
Qarabag kicked off their Champions League group stage campaign with a remarkable away victory against Benfica. What makes this win particularly impressive is that Gurban Gurbanov’s side managed to overcome a two-goal deficit, staging an incredible comeback with three decisive goals. This victory extends their strong Champions League form, as Qarabag has now won 6 of their last 7 matches in the competition, even managing to score in their sole defeat during this run. However, a defensive vulnerability persists, with the team conceding in their last 4 Champions League outings.
Key Statistics for Qarabag
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 out of Qarabag’s last 7 Champions League matches.
- At home, the team has remained unbeaten in 12 of their last 15 Champions League games (8 wins, 4 draws).
- Qarabag conceded goals in 5 of their last 7 home matches in this tournament.
Qarabag’s Predicted Line-up (4-5-1)
Mateusz Kochalski – Behlul Mustafazade, Kevin Medina, Matheus Silva, Elvin Jafarguliyev – Abdellah Zoubir, Kady, Leandro Andrade, Pedro Bicallho, Marko Janković – Nariman Akhundzade.
Team Analysis: Copenhagen
Copenhagen’s Form and Unbeaten Streak
Copenhagen began their Champions League campaign by securing a home draw against Bayer Leverkusen, though they conceded a late equalizer in injury time, resulting in a 2-2 scoreline. Despite the late concession, this result extended their impressive unbeaten run in the Champions League to 7 matches, comprising 4 wins and 3 draws. Notably, during this consistent period, the Danish side has managed to keep 5 clean sheets, showcasing their defensive solidity. Furthermore, Copenhagen has found the back of the net in their last 4 Champions League fixtures.
Key Statistics for Copenhagen
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Copenhagen’s last 7 Champions League matches.
- Away from home in this tournament, the club has not lost in 8 of their last 10 matches (3 wins, 5 draws).
- In 5 of their last 6 away Champions League games, Copenhagen conceded no more than one goal.
Copenhagen’s Predicted Line-up (4-4-2)
Dominik Kotarski – Rodrigo Huescas, Gabriel Pereira, Pantelis Hatzidiakos, Marcos Lopez – Jordan Larsson, Viktor Claesson, Lukas Lerager, Thomas Delaney – Mohamed Elyounoussi, Robert Silva.
Team News: Copenhagen Injuries
Midfielders Elias Achouri, Magnus Mattsson, and forward Andreas Cornelius will miss the match due to injuries.
Match Official
Serdar Gözübüyük (Netherlands)
Referee Statistics
Matches officiated – 14 (International matches, 2024/25-2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 72;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties awarded – 43%.
Match Prediction: Qarabag vs Copenhagen
Qarabag’s Home Advantage and Strong Start
Qarabag delivered one of the most significant upsets of the opening matchday, securing a hard-fought comeback victory against a team that is a perennial Champions League contender. This triumph is particularly noteworthy given that Qarabag achieved it away from home, a venue where they traditionally don’t exhibit their strongest form. However, their home record paints a different picture: the club has remained undefeated in 12 of their last 15 Champions League home fixtures, recording an impressive 8 wins.
Copenhagen’s Away Form Struggles
Conversely, Copenhagen has historically struggled to secure victories when playing away in the Champions League. Their record shows only 2 wins from their last 9 away matches in the competition, alongside 5 draws and 2 defeats. More tellingly, during the group stage specifically, the Danish side has failed to register a single away victory in this same stretch.
Final Prediction and Betting Tip
Considering Qarabag’s formidable home record and their impressive offensive output – scoring 14 goals in their last 6 home Champions League games – the hosts are well-positioned to secure points in this fixture. It is highly probable that this match will also deliver a good number of goals, as Copenhagen will likely struggle to contain Qarabag’s potent attack. My final prediction for this encounter is: “Qarabag will not lose and Total Over 1.5 goals”, offered at compelling odds of
1.90
Prediction Author
Author: Alexey Tarabrin