Match Overview

The 2025/26 group stage Matchday 4 fixture between Manchester City (England) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) is set to take place on November 5 at the Etihad Stadium. This article provides a comprehensive prediction, including key insights and statistics for the Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund encounter.

Manchester City Team Analysis

Current Form and Performance

The British side secured a 2-0 away victory against Villarreal in the previous round. Across three matches in the current Champions League campaign, Pep Guardiola’s squad has amassed 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw), notably scoring exactly two goals in each of these fixtures. Manchester City’s goal-scoring run in this tournament now spans 7 games. However, it’s worth highlighting that the English team has conceded in 8 of their last 10 Champions League outings. The Mancunians currently occupy 7th position in the overall standings.

Key Manchester City Statistics

• Both teams found the net in 5 of the British team’s last 7 Champions League matches.
• At home in this tournament, the team has triumphed in 15 of their last 19 games (3 draws, 1 loss).
• In their last 5 home Champions League encounters, the club has scored a minimum of two goals.

Manchester City Predicted Lineup (4-1-4-1)

Gianluigi Donnarumma – Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, John Stones – Tijjani Reijnders – Bernardo Silva, Savio, Phil Foden, Oscar Bobb – Erling Haaland.

Borussia Dortmund Team Analysis

Current Form and Performance

Dortmund has remarkably scored four goals in three consecutive Champions League matches for the first time in their storied history. In the previous round, Copenhagen proved to be no match for Borussia, as the German side clinched a convincing 4-2 victory over the Danish team. This win marked their third in the last four Champions League games (1 draw). Nevertheless, it’s pertinent to note that the club has failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 consecutive matches in this prestigious tournament. Niko Kovac’s men currently hold 6th place in the primary standings, yet among the top 8 teams, they possess the weakest defensive record, having conceded 7 goals.

Key Borussia Dortmund Statistics

• At least one goal was netted in both halves in 6 of Dortmund’s last 9 matches in this elite European competition.
• On their travels, the team has remained unbeaten in 5 of their last 7 Champions League fixtures (4 wins, 1 draw).
• In 7 of their last 9 away Champions League clashes, the German squad has conceded at least two goals.

Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)

Gregor Kobel – Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Yan Couto, Felix Nmecha, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson – Karim Adeyemi, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier.

Team News and Injuries

Defender Emre Can and midfielder Julien Duranville are both sidelined due to injuries and will not feature in the match.

Referee Overview

Match Official: Szymon Marciniak

Szymon Marciniak (Montenegro)

Referee Statistics (2025/26)

Matches officiated – 6 (International matches, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 14;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.3;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 17%.

Match Prediction: Manchester City – Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund’s Attacking Threat

Dortmund ranks among the top three in terms of attacking efficiency during the current Champions League group stage. Despite this impressive statistic, bookmakers are offering favorable odds for the German side to score. Even when playing away in the Champions League, Borussia has consistently found the net in 13 of their last 14 previous matches, notably scoring at least twice in 8 of those games. Furthermore, they have successfully breached Manchester City’s defense in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head Champions League encounters.

Manchester City’s Offensive Power vs. Defensive Vulnerabilities

The British team displays a noticeable lack of defensive reliability. Pep Guardiola’s charges have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 Champions League outings. However, the prolific attack of the Mancunians often compensates for their defensive shortcomings. Manchester City boasts a formidable 7-match scoring streak in this European competition, and in only one fixture during this period did the English team manage to score fewer than two goals. With such consistent offensive prowess, the team is highly likely to find ways to penetrate Dortmund’s goal, especially considering the German side ranks among the ten worst in terms of goals conceded in the 2025/26 Champions League. And how could it be otherwise when their squad features Erling Haaland, a player who has netted an astounding 37 goals in just 33 group stage appearances?

Final Betting Tip

My prediction: “Both Teams to Score – Yes”.