Match Overview

This Ligue 1 Matchday 2 fixture features Toulouse hosting Brest on August 24th at the Stadium de Toulouse. This preview offers a detailed forecast, betting insights, and essential statistics for the Toulouse vs Brest encounter.

Toulouse Team Overview

Current Form and Home Performance

Toulouse kicked off their campaign with a narrow 1-0 away victory against Nice in the first round. This win extended their impressive unbeaten streak in Ligue 1 to five matches, consisting of three wins and two draws. The club’s goal-scoring run in the league has also now reached four consecutive games. However, their home performance in the previous French championship was notably less successful, with Toulouse ranking only 14th among home teams. They failed to secure a win in 12 of their 17 home fixtures (5 draws, 7 defeats). Despite this, Toulouse has demonstrated an ability to score at home, finding the net in their last five matches in front of their supporters.

Toulouse Key Statistics

• Fewer than 4 goals were scored in 6 of Toulouse’s last 7 Ligue 1 matches.
• At home, the team has failed to win in 8 of their last 9 league games (3 draws, 5 losses).
• Toulouse has conceded goals in 10 consecutive home matches in this tournament. 

Toulouse Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)*

Guillaume Rest – Djibril Sidibe, Charley Cresswell, Mark McKenzie – Aron Donnum, Mario Sauer, Jaidi Kaanwo, Deyann Metal – Noah Edjouma, Frank Magri, Yann Gboho.  

Brest Team Overview

Brest’s Season Start and Away Woes

Brest’s opening fixture resulted in the league’s only draw of the first round, a thrilling 3-3 stalemate against Lille. It’s worth recalling that the team concluded the previous season with a crushing 0-6 away defeat to Nice in the French championship. Overall, away matches in Ligue 1 proved challenging for Brest last season, as they accumulated only 17 points on the road compared to 33 at their home ground. Their defensive record in away games was particularly concerning, having conceded 38 goals in 17 matches – a tally only surpassed by relegated Saint-Etienne (44).

Brest Key Statistics

• At least 3 goals were scored in 7 of Brest’s last 9 league matches.
• The team has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 11 Ligue 1 games (5 wins, 3 draws).
• Brest has found the net in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the French top flight. 

Brest Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)* 

Radosław Majecki – Bradley Locko, Julien Le Cardinal, Brendan Chardonnet, Kenny Lala – Hugo Magnetti, Pierre Lees-Melou, Kamory Doumbia – Ludovic Ajorque, Mama Baldé, Romain Del Castillo.  

Referee Analysis

Benoît Millot’s Profile

Benoît Millot (France)

Matches officiated – 16 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 26;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 8;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties awarded – 38%.

Match Prediction: Toulouse vs Brest

Match Analysis and Prediction Rationale

Toulouse managed to overcome a Nice side weakened by numerous injuries in their opening fixture, though it was a challenging win. Nice held the advantage in that match and outperformed Toulouse in most key statistical metrics, suggesting Toulouse was fortunate to convert one of their few chances. In contrast, Brest’s attack looked much sharper in their first-round game, netting three times against Lille. Notably, Brest was one of only three teams to score more than once in the new Ligue 1 season’s opening match. Furthermore, the Bretons displayed character by battling back from a 0-2 deficit in that encounter.

However, that particular match was played on Brest’s home turf. Their away form tends to be less impressive. Even at home, they conceded three goals to Lille despite their strong offensive performance. It’s unlikely that Brest will keep a clean sheet in this away fixture. The team has conceded in their last five Ligue 1 away matches, letting in a total of 17 goals over this period. Yet, they have also scored in four of these five encounters, bagging a total of 9 goals.

Final Verdict and Betting Tip

A trend for both teams to score is also evident in Toulouse’s home games: both sides have found the net in 9 of their last 10 French championship matches. Moreover, in 6 of the previous 8 head-to-head encounters in Ligue 1, both Toulouse and Brest have scored. Therefore, my prediction is:  “Both Teams to Score – Yes” at an odds of 1.75

Note on Lineups

*The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.