Tijuana — Necaxa : Match Preview and Prediction for September 01,2025

Tijuana’s Recent Form Under Scrutiny

Starting with the hosts, Tijuana, led by Sebastian Abreu, boasts a four-match unbeaten streak. However, a closer look reveals this run consists of three draws and just one victory. Their most recent encounter against Guadalajara perfectly encapsulated Tijuana’s struggles. Squandering a commanding 3-0 lead to finish with a 3-3 draw highlights severe defensive vulnerabilities and psychological fragility.

Defensive Frailties Exposed

The statistics from that game paint a bleak picture of helplessness. Tijuana managed only 33% possession, allowing their opponents a staggering 22 shots on goal. This performance is far from what one would expect from a team aiming for a confident home victory. Their defense completely collapsed in the second half, directly leading to the loss of two crucial points.

Squad Reinforcements and Injury Concerns

The club has attempted to bolster its squad by signing striker Murad El-Gezouani, but his official presentation isn’t expected until Wednesday at the earliest. This implies he is unlikely to feature against Necaxa, and even if he does, any meaningful synergy with the team is out of the question. Compounding these issues is the injury to starting defender Unai Bilbao Arteta, making Tijuana’s defensive outlook appear increasingly grim.

Necaxa’s Underwhelming Season

Turning our attention to the visitors, Necaxa, under Fernando Gago, has been struggling, currently occupying a lower position in the league table. However, one irrefutable fact cannot be overlooked: their head-to-head history at Tijuana’s home ground. Necaxa has emerged victorious in their last two matches played at Estadio Caliente.

Dominant Head-to-Head Record

Their most recent direct encounter, in April of this year, also concluded with a 2-1 victory for Necaxa. The statistics are undeniable: Tijuana has failed to defeat Necaxa in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head clashes. Furthermore, on their home turf, Tijuana has been unable to overcome this opponent in 4 of their last 5 fixtures. This pattern is not a coincidence; it reflects a systemic advantage for Necaxa.

Away Scoring Prowess Amidst Drought

Necaxa has been experiencing difficulties finding the back of the net, having gone over 200 minutes without scoring. Nevertheless, their last goal was scored away from home, in a match against UNAM Pumas. This demonstrates the team’s capacity to create opportunities on the road, particularly against an opponent as favorable to them as Tijuana, whose defense currently appears highly vulnerable.