Valladolid
05.11.2023 18:00 (GMT+2)
Cordoba
[1] - 1.92
Х - 3.62
[2] - 3.88
1$
1.92
1$
3.88

Valladolid — Cordoba : Match Preview and Prediction for November 05,2023

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Valladolid team logo

Valladolid

Initial Impressions and Deeper Dive

Alright, folks, let’s dissect the Valladolid vs Cordoba match. On paper, it seems straightforward: a Segunda leader with two wins in two matches and zero goals conceded. But I’m here to dig deeper, not just skim the surface. Let’s analyze their last away game against Castellon.

Statistical Reality Check

A 1-0 victory. Sounds solid, right? Now, let’s look at the numbers. Valladolid’s ball possession was a meager 38%. Expected Goals (xG) were almost even: 0.80 for Valladolid versus 0.78 for the hosts. This isn’t the performance of a dominant leader crushing its opponents; it was a hard-fought victory where the adversary had every chance to snatch points.

Coach’s Perspective and Tactical Challenges

Coach Guillermo Almada is obsessed with ball control, yet his team isn’t delivering it. Even in their home game against Ceuta, possession was only 42%. This indicates that their much-touted high press can, and should, be overcome. Almada himself isn’t exuding overconfidence, noting that Cordoba has very disruptive attacking players and will undoubtedly create numerous difficulties.

League Standings – Valladolid

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
 
1
Sporting Gijon
3
3
0
0
4-1
9
 
2
Valladolid
2
2
0
0
4-0
6
 
3
Racing Santander
2
2
0
0
6-3
6
 
4
Almeria
3
1
2
0
7-6
5
 
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
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Injuries and Suspensions – Valladolid

  • Injury Marcos Andre Rotation Player FW Star rating 1
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 15 out since
    1 match missed
  • Injury Tamas Nikitcher Rotation Player MF Star rating 1
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 15 out since
    1 match missed
  • Injury Selim Amallah Rotation Player MF Star rating 1
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    May 18 out since
    7 matches missed

Cordoba team logo

Cordoba

Cordoba’s Challenging Start

Now, let’s turn to the visitors. Zero points after two rounds. Disaster? Not so fast. Consider their opponents: Sporting Gijon and Las Palmas. These are formidable adversaries, not pushovers. Ivan Ania’s team has faced a baptism by fire at the start of the season.

Coach Ania’s Calm Confidence

Ania himself is as calm as a cucumber. He openly states that his teams never start seasons smoothly but always achieve their objectives in the end. These aren’t just empty words; it’s a fact of his coaching career. He doesn’t look for blame; he seeks solutions, and he has a clear plan to counter Valladolid.

Tactical Preparation Against Valladolid

Ania has meticulously dissected the opponent’s pressing. His words: “We need to think very quickly, position ourselves correctly when receiving the ball, and avoid playing backward.” He understands that playing backward is “vitamins” for Valladolid. The team knows what to do to expose the leader’s Achilles’ heel. Yes, the defense is currently struggling, having conceded five goals, but the coach is emphasizing this, and remedial work is in full swing.

League Standings – Cordoba

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
 
15
Albacete
2
0
1
1
6-7
1
 
16
Mirandes
2
0
0
2
0-2
0
 
17
Cordoba
2
0
0
2
2-5
0
 
18
Castellon
2
0
0
2
1-4
0
 
19
Zaragoza
2
0
0
2
1-4
0
 
Relegation
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Injuries and Suspensions – Cordoba

  • Injury Dallisson de Almeida Rotation Player FW Star rating 1
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 9 out since
    2 matches missed
  • Injury Ruben Alves Rotation Player DF Star rating 1
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 18 out since
    1 match missed
  • Injury Adilson Mendes-Martins Reserve Player FW Star rating 0
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    March 2 out since
    18 matches missed

Players Questionable to Play

  • Injury Diego Bri Rotation Player FW Star rating 1
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 25 out since
    0 matches missed

The Prediction: Underdog Value

And now we come to the crux of it. The bookmakers are offering a juicy coefficient of 1.85 for Cordoba not to lose (X2). And I believe this is a value bet. We have an overvalued league leader whose victories aren’t as convincing as they appear at first glance, especially if you look at the underlying statistics rather than just the score. Their win against Castellon was a narrow escape.Segunda

History of confrontations

Last matches Valladolid vs Cordoba

Valladolid Valladolid
Cordoba

Other predictions

Sports betting from our team of predictors
Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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