Match Overview

The Matchday 6 fixture of the PARI First League (FNL) between Shinnik and Rodina Moscow will take place on August 23 at the Shinnik Stadium in Yaroslavl. Here’s a comprehensive look at the prediction, odds, and statistics for Shinnik vs Rodina.

Shinnik Team Analysis

The Yaroslavl-based side secured their first victory of the current championship season in the previous round. More importantly, by defeating Chayka (2:1), the team ended a 9-match winless streak in the FNL (1 draw, 8 losses). However, Shinnik has conceded goals in 15 consecutive matches in this tournament. Artyom Buloychik’s squad has climbed to 14th place in the overall standings. It’s noteworthy that the club has a low scoring record, with only three goals scored, a figure only surpassed by Sokol and Ufa (2 goals each).

Shinnik Key Statistics

• The Yaroslavl team has failed to score more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 First League matches.
• At home, the team has not won in 9 of their previous 11 championship encounters (2 draws, 7 losses).
• In 5 of their last 6 home FNL games, Shinnik conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.

Shinnik Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Timofey Mitrov – Vadim Karpov, Kirill Malyarov, Artemiy Kosogorov, Vitaliy Lystsov – Nikita Kotin, Oleg Lanin, Timofey Shipunov, Dmitry Samoylov, Albek Gongapshev – Ruslan Kul.

Rodina Moscow Team Analysis

The capital club, Rodina, is still searching for their first three points of the season. A goalless draw in the previous round against Ufa (0:0) extended their winless streak in the championship to 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses). However, Rodina managed to keep a clean sheet for the first time in their last 7 FNL encounters. The team has dropped to 14th place in the league table. Notably, Rodina leads the league in average corners per match with 6.8.

Rodina Moscow Key Statistics

• Rodina has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 championship matches.
• Away from home, the Moscow side has failed to win in 10 of their last 13 First League matches (4 draws, 6 losses).
• In 7 of their last 9 away FNL games, the team conceded no more than one goal.

Rodina Moscow Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Sergey Volkov – Mitja Krizan, Leo Goglichidze, Artyom Meshchaninov, Stanislav Bessmertny – Pape Gueye, Ruslan Fischenko, Kirill Ushatov, Astemir Gordyushenko, Arshak Koryan – Artyom Maksimenko.

Referee Profile

Referee: Stanislav Matveev (Russia)

• Matches officiated: 15 (First League, 2024/25 – 2025/26);
• Yellow cards shown (including second yellows): 58;
• Average yellow cards per match: 3.9;
• Red cards shown: 1;
• Average fouls per match: 23;
• Penalties awarded: 20%.

Match Prediction: Shinnik vs Rodina Moscow

In the final round of the previous championship, these rivals delivered a goal-fest, ending in a 6:2 victory for Rodina. However, the Moscow team was in strong form at the end of that tournament, while the Yaroslavl side, having already secured their league status, was simply playing out the season. Under current circumstances, such high-scoring expectations are unwarranted.

It’s also challenging to expect even a single goal from the Yaroslavl team: Shinnik failed to score in 7 of their last 10 FNL matches. Furthermore, Shinnik has not managed to score at home in 4 consecutive First League games. The team creates few scoring opportunities, and their conversion rate, under Artyom Buloychik’s guidance, is one of the lowest in the league. Interestingly, Rodina is also among the clubs that struggle most with converting chances.

Facing a technically superior opponent, the Yaroslavl side will likely be content with just one point. I believe the hosts will focus heavily on defending their goal, making it difficult for Rodina, who have only scored two goals in their last five away FNL matches, to break through their defense.

My prediction: Total Goals Under 2.5 with odds of 1.58.