Match Overview

The 7th round match of the PARI First League (FNL) between Shinnik and Chernomorets is scheduled for August 30th at the Shinnik Stadium in Yaroslavl. This preview provides an in-depth analysis and betting insights for the Shinnik vs Chernomorets encounter, including key statistics.

Shinnik Team Profile

In their previous home fixture, the Yaroslavl side drew 1-1 with Rodina. Shinnik’s recent form has been concerning, with just one victory in their last 11 league matches, alongside two draws and eight defeats. During this period, Artem Buloychik’s squad has conceded goals in every game. With only 5 points accumulated, Shinnik currently sits in 11th place in the standings. Notably, the club averages just one yellow card per game, with only Neftekhimik receiving fewer cautions.

Shinnik’s Key Statistics

• Fewer than three goals have been scored in five of Shinnik’s last six First League outings.
• At home, the team has struggled, failing to secure a win in 10 of their last 12 FNL encounters, recording three draws and seven losses.
• Shinnik has failed to find the net in four of their five home matches in this competition.

Shinnik’s Probable Starting Lineup (4-5-1)

Timofey Mitrov – Vadim Karpov, Kirill Malyarov, Artemiy Kosogorov, Nikita Kotin – Artyom Golubev, Oleg Lanin, Timofey Shipunov, Dmitry Samoilov, Albek Gongapshev – Ruslan Kul.

Chernomorets Team Profile

Chernomorets, from Novorossiysk, suffered a 0-2 home defeat against Yenisey in the last round, marking their fourth loss of the current championship campaign, alongside two draws. After a six-match scoring streak in the FNL, the team has now failed to score in two consecutive games. Furthermore, Chernomorets has conceded goals in seven consecutive matches in this tournament. The club currently occupies the bottom position in the league standings.

Coaching Change at Chernomorets

By mutual agreement, the contract with head coach Sergey Pervushin has been terminated.

Chernomorets’ Key Statistics

• The team has scored no more than one goal in five of their last six First League matches.
• Away from home, Chernomorets has shown resilience, avoiding defeat in seven of their last eight championship matches, securing five wins and two draws.
• In seven of their last eight away games in the FNL, Chernomorets has conceded no more than one goal.

Chernomorets’ Probable Starting Lineup (4-3-3)

Mikhail Shtepa – Oleg Nikolaev, Grigory Zhilkin, Zaurbek Pliev, Ilya Kirsh – Zaur Tarba, Eldiyar Zarypbekov, Kirill Morozov – Ilya Zhigulev, Said Aliev, Anton Krachkovsky.

Referee Analysis

German Kovalenko (Russia)

Matches officiated – 13 (First League, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.4;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties awarded – 0%.

Shinnik vs Chernomorets Match Prediction

Last season, both teams secured away victories in their head-to-head encounters. The match in Novorossiysk was decided by a solitary goal, while Chernomorets triumphed 2-0 in Yaroslavl. Predicting the outcome of this upcoming fixture is challenging, as both teams are navigating a difficult period. However, it is highly probable that their clash will once again be a low-scoring affair.

Shinnik’s Offensive Struggles and Defensive Solidity

Only three clubs have scored fewer goals than Shinnik in the current championship. In terms of Expected Goals (xG), Artem Buloychik’s charges also rank fourth from the bottom. Their goal against Rodina in the previous round was their first in five recent home FNL matches. Despite their attacking struggles, the club’s defense has performed reasonably well; only one opponent this season has managed to score more than one goal against the Yaroslavl side.

Chernomorets’ Current Form and Tactical Approach

The winless streak is undoubtedly negatively impacting the psychological state of the Novorossiysk team. Furthermore, Chernomorets has recently stopped scoring. It’s uncertain whether the departure of their head coach will provide an immediate uplift. In any case, teams in such predicaments typically prioritize preventing goals, so Chernomorets will likely focus heavily on defensive solidity.

My Prediction: Total Goals Under 2.5