Match Overview

The Matchday 11 encounter in the between FC Orenburg and FC Rostov is scheduled for October 5th at the Gazovik Stadium. Here’s a comprehensive match preview, betting tips, odds analysis, and statistical insights for Orenburg vs Rostov.

Orenburg’s Current Form

Vladimir Slishkovich’s side suffered a 2-5 away defeat to Zenit in the previous round. Their winless streak in the championship has now extended to 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses), and remarkably, Orenburg has conceded goals in 9 consecutive RPL fixtures. Furthermore, the club has failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their last 19 Premier League matches. In the league standings, Orenburg currently occupies the 13th position, just one point clear of the relegation zone.

Key Statistics for Orenburg:

• At least three goals were scored in Orenburg’s last 6 Premier League encounters.
• The team has failed to win any of their last 8 home matches in the championship (5 draws, 3 losses).
• In 8 of their last 10 home games in this tournament, Orenburg conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.

Orenburg’s Probable Lineup (3-4-3)

Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Artem Kasimov, Emil Tsenov, Henri Chichinadze – Georgy Zotov, Vladislav Kamilov, Du Queiroz, Fahd Moufi – Jordy Thompson, Maxim Savelyev, Stepan Oganesyan.

Rostov’s Current Form

The team managed to secure a point against Krasnodar in a 0-0 draw in their last match. Jonathan Alba’s charges are now undefeated in 5 Premier League matches (1 win, 4 draws), and notably, Rostov has kept three consecutive clean sheets. It’s worth highlighting that such a prolonged “dry spell” (consecutive clean sheets) was last achieved by the club in the RPL back in 2017. However, Rostov has failed to score in two consecutive games, a first for the team in the current championship. In the overall standings, Rostov sits in 11th place.

Key Statistics for Rostov:

• At least one team failed to score in 5 of Rostov’s last 7 Premier League matches.
• The team has not secured an away victory in their last 8 matches in this tournament (4 draws, 4 losses).
• In 7 of their last 8 away games in the RPL, Rostov did not score more than one goal.

Rostov’s Probable Lineup (4-4-2)

Rustam Yatimov – Dmitry Chistyakov, Viktor Melekhin, Ilya Vakhania, Umar Sako – Konstantin Kuchaev, Alexey Mironov, Kirill Shchetinin, Mohammad Mohebi – Ronaldo, Egor Golenkov.

Defender Eyad El-Askalany is currently injured.

Match Official

Ivan Saraev (Russia)

Referee Statistics (First League, 2024/25):

• Matches officiated: 11
• Yellow cards shown (including second yellows): 49
• Average yellow cards per match: 4.4
• Red cards shown: 1
• Average fouls per match: 21
• Penalties awarded: 33% (of matches)

Match Prediction: Orenburg vs Rostov

Rostov’s Defensive Strength

Rostov has shown significant improvement in their defensive play. In their last 4 championship matches, the team has conceded only a single goal. Jonathan Alba’s squad approaches this upcoming fixture with a 3-match clean sheet streak in the RPL – the longest active run this season. It’s crucial to highlight the caliber of opponents Rostov has prevented from scoring, including CSKA and Krasnodar, both of whom are in the top four for goal-scoring. Additionally, in 7 of their last 9 away Premier League games, the club has not conceded more than one goal.

Orenburg’s Offensive Challenges

Orenburg typically scores regularly, but in this upcoming clash, it will be challenging for the team to maintain their usual offensive output. Against defensively strong opponents, Vladimir Slishkovich’s men tend to be less potent in attack. While they did score twice against Zenit in the last round, the St. Petersburg side had relaxed late in the game. Furthermore, Orenburg has not scored more than once in 6 of their last 8 home Premier League matches.

Final Forecast

My prediction: Orenburg Individual Total Under 1.5 goals with odds of 1.42.