Match Overview

The 9th round match of the MIR RPL between Krasnodar and Zenit will take place on September 21 at Ozon Arena. Krasnodar – Zenit: prediction and bet, odds, statistics.

Krasnodar Team Analysis

Krasnodar’s Current Form and Performance

Under Murad Musaev’s guidance, Krasnodar secured a 2-1 home victory against Akron in the previous round. This triumph marked their fifth win in the last six Premier League matches (with one draw). Notably, the Bulls conceded goals in two consecutive games for the first time this season, yet they still boast the league’s best defensive record with only 5 goals conceded (a feat shared with Baltika). In the match against Togliatti, Krasnodar registered their highest shots on target count this season – 9 (compared to an average of 5.2). The team maintains its lead in the league table, holding a 3-point advantage over their closest rivals.

Krasnodar Key Statistics

• Krasnodar scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 RPL games.
• The team won 8 of their last 9 home matches in the championship (1 loss).
• Krasnodar conceded at least one goal in 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.

Krasnodar’s Probable Lineup (4-5-1)

Stanislav Agkatsev – Jubal, Vitor Tormena, Sergey Petrov, Lucas Olaza – Eduard Spertsyan, João Bachi, Gaëtan Perrin, Nikita Krivtsov, Douglas Augusto – Jhon Córdoba.

Krasnodar Team News

Defender Moses Cobnan and midfielder Aleksandr Chernikov are injured. Defender Diego Costa is suspended.

Zenit Team Analysis

Zenit’s Current Form and Performance

In the previous round, the St. Petersburg side drew 0-0 away against Baltika. Sergei Semak’s men have failed to win in 5 of their last 7 league matches (4 draws, 1 loss), but they have kept clean sheets in their last three outings in the competition. Zenit themselves ended a 3-match streak of scoring at least two goals, hitting the Kaliningrad goal with only three shots (their average total is twice as much). In the league standings, Zenit have dropped to 6th place, and the gap to Krasnodar has widened to 4 points.

Zenit Key Statistics

• The team conceded no more than one goal in 15 of their last 17 Premier League games.
• Away from home, the St. Petersburg side remained unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 championship matches (2 wins, 5 draws).
• No more than two goals were scored in 6 of Zenit’s last 8 away RPL matches.

Zenit’s Probable Lineup (4-5-1)

Denis Adamov – Douglas Santos, Vanja Drkusic, Nino, Gustavo Mantuan – Maksim Glushenkov, Wilmar Barrios, Luis Henrique, Wendel, Andrey Mostovoy – Pedro Henrique.

Zenit Team News

Defender Vyacheslav Karavaev and midfielder Gerson are injured.

Referee Profile

Match Official

Sergey Karaev (Russia)

Sergey Karasev’s Statistics

Matches – 20 (RPL, 2024/25 – 2025/26); Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 88; Average yellow cards per match – 4.4; Red cards shown – 9; Average fouls per match – 25; Penalties awarded – 30%.

Krasnodar vs Zenit Match Prediction

Head-to-Head & Current Form Analysis

Krasnodar has a poor home record against Zenit, having lost 6 of their last 8 Premier League encounters at home. However, Murad Musaev’s side has an opportunity to improve this statistic in the upcoming match. Krasnodar appears to be in better form this season, having dropped points only twice. Zenit, on the other hand, can only boast two wins in their last seven Premier League matches, with those victories coming against Makhachkala and Nizhny Novgorod. Furthermore, Zenit has yet to secure an away win in the RPL 2025/26 season (3 draws, 1 loss).

Zenit’s Tactical Outlook

Sergei Semak is unlikely to opt for an attacking style of play against Krasnodar, despite Zenit needing to catch up to their rivals in the standings. Almost half of Zenit’s goals this season have come from just two matches, and in the last round, the St. Petersburg club generated only 0.21 xG, marking their third-lowest performance under Semak’s management.

Krasnodar’s Scoring & Defensive Considerations

Krasnodar faces a similar scoring pattern, with 11 of their 20 goals netted against Orenburg and Krylia Sovetov. Zenit is unlikely to offer such attacking freedom near their goal, especially considering they have kept three consecutive clean sheets in the RPL. Moreover, the significance of this encounter will likely compel Murad Musaev’s side to adopt a cautious approach.

Final Betting Pick

My prediction: Krasnodar will not lose and Total Under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.88.