Match Overview

The 11th-round match of the MIR RPL between Baltika and Dinamo Makhachkala will take place on October 5 at the “Rostec Arena” in Kaliningrad. This preview covers the Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala fixture, including predictions, odds, and statistics.

Baltika Team Analysis

In the previous round, Kaliningrad suffered a heartbreaking 0-1 defeat to CSKA, conceding a decisive goal moments before the final whistle. This marked their first loss of the current championship season, which previously saw them secure 4 wins and 5 draws. Despite a solid start, the team has now failed to score in three consecutive Premier League matches. Against CSKA, Andrey Talalaev’s side showed a modest attacking presence, managing only two shots on target compared to their average of five. Prior to this match, Baltika had kept clean sheets in four consecutive Premier League games. Following the defeat, the team has dropped to 6th place in the standings.

• Fewer than three goals were scored in 7 of Baltika’s last 7 RPL matches.
• At home, the club has remained unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 league games (4 wins, 4 draws).
• In 4 of their last 5 home matches in this tournament, Baltika scored no more than one goal.

Baltika’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Maksim Borisko – Sergey Varatinov, Natan Gassama, Alexander Filin, Mingiyan Beveev – Vladislav Saus, Sergey Pryakhin, Ilya Petrov, Nikolay Titkov, Maksim Petrov – Bryan Gil.

Midfielder Andrey Mendel is injured. Defender Kevin Andrade is suspended.

Dinamo Makhachkala Team Analysis

In the previous round, Dinamo Makhachkala drew 0-0 at home against Sochi. Khasanbi Bidzhiev’s men have failed to win in 6 of their last 7 league matches (3 draws, 3 losses), scoring only three goals during this period. Dinamo has managed a total of just 5 goals in the RPL 2025/26 season, which is the lowest in the league. Notably, in the match against Sochi, the club recorded its season-best figures for corners taken – 8, significantly higher than their average of 3.5. The team currently occupies 12th place in the league table.

• At least one team failed to score in 5 of Dinamo Makhachkala’s last 6 Premier League matches.
• The team has lost 6 of their last 8 away league games (2 draws).
• The club has conceded goals in 11 consecutive away matches in this tournament.

Dinamo Makhachkala’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

David Volk – Temirkan Sundukov, Mutalip Alibekov, Jemal Tabidze, Idar Shumakhov – Nikita Glushkov, Mohamed Azzi, Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad, Oussem Mrezig, Hazem Mastouri – Gamid Agalarov.

Defender Jan Dzhapo and midfielder Mehdi El-Mubarik are in the team’s infirmary.

Match Referee

Alexey Sukhoi (Russia)

Matches officiated – 22 (RPL, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellow) – 104;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties awarded – 45%.

Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala Match Prediction

The Kaliningrad team suffered a disappointing defeat in the last round, yet they should be generally satisfied with the first third of the championship. Andrey Talalaev’s side is only 4 points behind league leaders CSKA, and Baltika boasts the best defensive record in the tournament by goals conceded. I am confident the club will secure points in the upcoming game, as their opponent’s away form is far from impressive. Dinamo Makhachkala is among the bottom three away teams in the current championship. Furthermore, Dinamo has failed to win any of their last 8 away RPL matches (2 draws, 6 losses).

Khasanbi Bidzhiev’s team consistently concedes, but generally avoids major defensive collapses. The club has not conceded more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 away Premier League matches, which suggests Baltika, having failed to score in three consecutive games, will face a tough challenge breaking through their defense. Moreover, Dinamo itself looks very modest in attack, with only one goal scored in five away RPL 2025/26 games. In the previous round, the team couldn’t even breach the league’s weakest defense.

My prediction: “Baltika will not lose and Total Under 2.5 goals” with odds of 1.85