Volga
03.09.2025 17:30 (GMT+2)
Chernomorets
[1] - 2.63
Х - 3.19
[2] - 2.95
1$
2.63
1$
2.95

Volga — Chernomorets : Match Preview and Prediction for September 03,2025

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Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk: FNL Matchday 8 Preview

Match Overview

The Matchday 8 fixture of the PARI First League (FNL) between Volga Ulyanovsk and Chernomorets Novorossiysk is scheduled for September 3rd at the Trud Stadium in Ulyanovsk. This preview provides an in-depth match prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for Volga vs Chernomorets.

Volga Ulyanovsk Overview

Volga’s Current Form

Volga Ulyanovsk secured a 2-1 home victory against Arsenal Tula in the previous round. This marks only their second win of the current championship campaign (along with 1 draw and 4 losses), and it was the first time Mikhail Belov’s side scored more than one goal in the FNL 2025/26 season. Having conceded 11 goals, Volga currently holds the league’s worst defensive record. Despite this, the club has climbed to 12th place in the standings and ranks third in the league for average shots on goal (11.8).

Key Statistics for Volga
  • The team conceded the first goal in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
  • Volga has had an uncompromising 7-match home run in the FNL (3 wins, 4 losses).
  • In 8 of their last 9 home games in this competition, Volga failed to score more than one goal.

Volga’s Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Vladimir Shaikhutdinov – Artyom Molodtsov, Kamil Ibragimov, Konstantin Kovalev, Oleg Krasilnichenko – Danil Novikov, Mikhail Umnikov, Igor Gershun – Vladislav Rudenko, Artur Murza, Evgeny Voronin.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk Overview

Chernomorets’ Current Form

Chernomorets Novorossiysk suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Shinnik Yaroslavl in the previous round, extending their winless streak in the championship to 7 matches (2 draws, 5 losses). Furthermore, the team has failed to score in three consecutive FNL matches. Chernomorets has conceded in every game this season, a statistic only matched by KAMAZ. The club currently occupies 18th place in the league table, lagging 4 points behind the crucial 15th-place safety spot.

Key Statistics for Chernomorets
  • No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Chernomorets’ last 7 league matches.
  • The team remained unbeaten in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the First League (5 wins, 2 draws).
  • Chernomorets scored in 13 of their previous 14 away games in this competition.

Chernomorets’ Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Mikhail Shtepa – Oleg Nikolaev, Grigory Zhilkin, Zaurbek Pliev, Evgeny Tonevitsky – Zaur Tarba, Daniil Gurchenko, Kirill Morozov – Ilya Zhigulev, Said Aliev, Vladislav Lozhkin.

Volga vs Chernomorets Match Prediction

Match Analysis and Betting Insights

Bookmakers currently favor Chernomorets in this upcoming match, a sentiment I find difficult to agree with. Both of Volga’s victories in the current championship have been achieved on home turf. Notably, in their game against Tula, Volga conceded first but fought until the very end, being rewarded with two goals. Prior to that, Mikhail Belov’s team suffered home defeats to KAMAZ, who are in the playoff zone, and Rotor Volgograd, conceding the decisive goal just six minutes before the end of normal time. In contrast, Chernomorets has yet to win in the FNL 2025/26 season, heading into this fixture on a three-match losing streak.

Chernomorets’ Attacking Struggles

It’s also worth highlighting Chernomorets’ issues in attack. The team has failed to score in three consecutive league matches, and in the previous round, they didn’t even create a single scoring opportunity. Furthermore, the club ranks last in the league by this metric. I believe Volga will have no trouble containing such an attack, especially since Volga has conceded no more than one goal in 4 of their last 5 FNL encounters.

Final Prediction

My prediction for this match is: “Volga to win or draw and Under 3.5 Goals” with odds of 1.75. Pari bookmaker logo

Author

Author: Alexey Tarabrin

Expert Forecasts for Volga vs Chernomorets, September 3, 2025

Yanis Plisko profile picture
р
Yanis Plisko
8 / 2 / 4 / ROI 6.4%
Yanis Plisko’s Analysis: Volga’s Strengths
The league newcomers have started a level higher quite commendably and currently sit in 12th place. Of their last 3 matches, the club has won 2, both at home. Volga boasts a 2-game winning streak on their home ground, and the team has scored in all 4 of their home matches this season. Only 4 clubs in the league have scored more goals at home than Volga. The average total goals in Ulyanovsk’s matches stands at 2.4, which is the fifth-highest in the league. In terms of play, it can also be said that Volga is not a typical FNL newcomer; the team isn’t afraid to attack, which adds excitement to their matches.
Yanis Plisko’s Analysis: Chernomorets’ Weaknesses
Chernomorets fought for promotion last season but failed to pass licensing, and this year, the management has lost interest in the team, significantly cutting their budget. Novorossiysk remains one of only two teams without a single win in the championship, currently occupying last place (2 draws and 5 losses). Chernomorets has conceded in all matches of the current season. The club has let in 11 goals this season, with no other team in the league conceding more. The average total goals in their matches is 2.3.
Yanis Plisko’s Conclusion
For me, Volga is even the favorite, making the substantial odds for them to score all the more surprising. Given that the hosts generally have no problems scoring at home, and Chernomorets concedes the most goals in the league (and in every match), I believe Volga will score.
Prediction
Volga individual total over 1 goal
Odds
Coefficient
2.04
Alexey Karpuk profile picture
р
Alexey Karpuk
102 / 12 / 98 / ROI -12.1%
Alexey Karpuk’s Analysis: Chernomorets’ Challenges

Chernomorets’ precarious position heading into the autumn segment is complicated by the international break. In their away fixture against Volga and on the weekend, the Novorossiysk team will be without two players called up to the Russian youth national team, leaving them with fewer squad options.

Alexey Karpuk’s Analysis: Volga’s Recent Form

Thanks to two victories in their last three rounds, Volga has slightly pulled away from Torpedo and Sokol in the relegation zone (a three-point difference). Belov’s team pleasantly surprised with their performance against strong Tula-based Arsenal (2-1), allowing them only three shots in 90 minutes – the best defensive record of the past round. Now, the Ulyanovsk players have gained confidence and need to solidify their position in the middle of the table.

Alexey Karpuk’s Analysis: Chernomorets’ Struggles Continue

Away against Shinnik (0-1), Chernomorets hardly seemed likely to succeed, although they could have snatched a draw even with a terrible difference in chances (1-8 shots on target). Novorossiysk, along with Sokol, remains one of the only teams in the current First League season without a win. In the upcoming round, defenders Kirsh and midfielder Rodionov will be unavailable for the “sailors” – without them, the coach will simply try to hold a draw. By the way, Chernomorets will try to save their campaign by inviting Evseev, who has been offered to lead the team until the end of the season.

Alexey Karpuk’s Conclusion and Betting Tip

In the last four rounds, the “Both Teams to Score – No” bet has landed three times for both Volga and Chernomorets. I believe this selection will be popular in the betting lines – expecting high goal productivity from these teams is unwarranted.

Prediction
Both Teams to Score – No
Odds
Coefficient
1.72
PARI First League

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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