Match Overview

The 12th-round match of the Russia First League (FNL) between Ural and SKA-Khabarovsk will take place on September 29 at Ekaterinburg Arena. Here’s a detailed match prediction, analysis, and statistics for Ural vs SKA-Khabarovsk.

Ural Team Analysis

In the previous round, Ural played to a goalless draw at home against Rotor (0:0). This result marks the Ekaterinburg team’s third draw in their last four league fixtures, alongside one victory. Notably, it was the first time in this recent stretch that Miroslav Romashchenko’s side managed to keep a clean sheet, though it also ended their five-match scoring streak in the FNL. However, Ural only registered two shots on target against Volgograd (averaging 5.9 per game). Following this result, the team has dropped to 2nd place in the league standings.

Ural Key Statistics

• No more than two goals were scored in 6 of Ural’s last 8 league matches.
• At home, the team has secured victories in 6 of their last 8 FNL encounters (2 draws).
• In 7 of their previous 8 home games in this competition, Ural conceded no more than one goal.

Ural Predicted Lineup (4-4-2)

Mikhail Oparin – Silvie Begic, Leo Cordeiro, Egor Mosin, Itallo Assis – Yuri Zheleznov, Roman Akbashev, Matvey Bardachev, Vitaly Bondarev – Maxim Voronov, Martin Sekulic.

SKA-Khabarovsk Team Analysis

Thanks to their recent 1-0 victory over Chernomorets, Aleksey Poddubsky’s squad snapped a seven-match winless streak in the league, which included three draws and four losses. It’s worth noting that during this period, the team failed to score against only two opponents. Furthermore, this was only the second time in the FNL 2025/26 season that the Far Eastern team kept a clean sheet, with fewer “dry” matches recorded by only four other clubs. SKA-Khabarovsk has now climbed to 11th place in the overall standings.

SKA-Khabarovsk Key Statistics

• The team conceded no more than one goal in 9 of their last 11 league matches.
• On the road, Khabarovsk have failed to win in 5 of their last 6 Russia First League fixtures (1 draw, 4 defeats).
• In 9 of their 12 previous away FNL games, the club scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.

SKA-Khabarovsk Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Aleksey Kuznetsov – Gleb Gurban, Denis Pershin, Egor Noskov, David Shavlokhov – Vasily Aleinikov, Batraz Gurtsiev, Andrey Anisimov, Sadyg Bagiev, Roman Emelyanov – Dmitry Tsypchenko.

Referee Profile

Stanislav Matveev (Russia)

Matches – 6 (First League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 17%.

Main Match Prediction

September has not been the best month for Ural. While they haven’t suffered any losses, they have dropped points too frequently. Nevertheless, Miroslav Romashchenko’s team generally shows strong results, and on their home turf, Ural remains undefeated in 8 FNL matches (6 wins, 2 draws). Crucially, in 7 of these home fixtures, the club conceded no more than one goal.

SKA-Khabarovsk have earned two of their three current league victories at home. Away from home, the Far Eastern team has only managed to defeat Yenisey in their last 6 Russia First League outings, a team that had a poor start to the season. It was only against Krasnoyarsk that SKA-Khabarovsk scored more than one goal during this period. Aleksey Poddubsky’s side concedes regularly, but generally avoids major defensive breakdowns.

I anticipate the visitors will aim for a draw, attempting to stifle Ural’s attacking moves. My forecast: Ural will not lose and Under 3.5 goals.