Match Overview

The match of the 13th round of the PARI First League (FNL) between Ufa and Spartak Kostroma will take place on October 4 at the Neftyanik stadium. Ufa – Spartak Kostroma: prediction and bet, odds, statistics.

Ufa’s Current Form

Omari Tetradze’s team drew 0:0 with Chelyabinsk at home in the previous round. The team has not won in five consecutive championship matches (3 draws, 2 losses), and their 3-match scoring streak in this tournament also ended. However, Ufa has kept a clean sheet for the 5th time in the FNL 2025/26 season, with only three opponents having more “dry” matches. In the standings, Ufa dropped to 14th place, but the gap from the relegation zone remained at two points.

Ufa Key Statistics

• The team scored in 5 out of 7 previous matches in the First League.
• At home, Ufa has not lost in 8 out of 10 recent FNL matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
• In 4 out of 5 previous home championship games, the club did not concede a single goal.

Ufa’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Alexander Belenov – Ivan Khomukha, Alexander Perchenok, David Ozmanov, Denis Kutin – Danil Akhatov, Migran Ageyan, Konstantin Troyanov, Zalimkhan Yusupov, Shamil Isaev – Dylan Ortiz.

Spartak Kostroma’s Current Form

Despite dropping points in the game against Volga (1:1), Kostroma maintained their lead in the standings. The team’s unbeaten streak in the championship reached 11 matches (8 wins, 3 draws). However, during this period, Sergey Bondar’s team only kept one clean sheet. In total, Spartak has conceded 12 goals, which is the worst record among the top 5 teams in the tournament. Additionally, in the match against Ulyanovsk, the club showed its best corner kick figures – 12 (average 3.4).

Spartak Kostroma Key Statistics

• Both teams scored in Spartak Kostroma’s last 8 FNL matches.
• Away from home in this tournament, the team has a streak of 6 victories.
• In 5 out of 6 previous away First League matches, Spartak scored at least two goals.

Spartak Kostroma’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Nikita Korets – Nikita Supranovich, Denis Zhilmostnykh, Maxim Ignatiev, Ilya Kalachev – Alexander Saplinov, Dmitry Sadov, Anatoly Nemchenko, Ivan Enin, Egor Nazarenko – Artur Garibyan.

Match Referee

Nikita Novikov (Russia)

Referee Statistics

Matches – 7 (First League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 30;

Penalties – 14%.

Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma Match Prediction

Ufa managed to contain Chelyabinsk’s attack in the previous round, even though their opponent is among the top 5 highest-scoring teams in the league and second in xG. However, Omari Tetradze’s team generally performs well defensively on home turf. Only 4 out of their 14 goals conceded in the current championship were at home. Moreover, Ufa has kept a clean sheet in 4 out of their last 5 home FNL games.

Spartak Kostroma’s attacking output is impressive, but it is largely due to extremely high shot conversion, a metric where the team leads the league. It is unlikely that Sergey Bondar’s team will maintain this level for an extended period. Furthermore, almost a third of Spartak’s goals were scored in the final 10 minutes: the club knows how to press opponents, but this factor cannot be constant throughout the entire tournament.

The visitors are capable of scoring a goal, but Ufa rarely allows more at home. My prediction: “Spartak Kostroma Individual Total Under 1.5 goals” with odds of 1.42