Match Overview

The 13th round match of the PARI First League (FNL) between Torpedo and Chernomorets will take place on October 5 at Arena Khimki. Here’s our prediction, odds, and statistics for Torpedo – Chernomorets.

Torpedo Analysis

The Moscow club defeated Yenisey away (1:0) in the previous round, ending a 6-match winless streak in the championship (2 draws, 4 losses). Despite this, Muscovites scored in 3 of their last 4 FNL matches, but the team has only 7 goals in total, with only Sokol having a worse record (5). Additionally, in the game against Krasnoyarsk, Torpedo recorded their worst foul count of the season – 18 (averaging 12). Dmitry Parfyonov’s charges have climbed to 16th place in the standings.

Torpedo Statistics

• At least one opponent failed to score in 9 of Torpedo’s last 11 championship games.
• At home, the team has not won in 5 of their last 6 FNL matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
• In 13 of their last 15 home encounters in this tournament, the Muscovites have not conceded more than one goal.

Torpedo’s Probable Lineup (4-4-2)

Egor Baburin – Sergey Borodin, Oleg Kozhemyakin, Bojan Roganovic, Egor Danilkin – Mario Curic, Vladimir Moskvitchev, Artur Galoyan, Alexander Lomakin – Alexey Kashtanov, Alexander Yushin.

Chernomorets Analysis

Novorossiysk defeated KAMAZ at home (1:0) in the previous round. This is the team’s third victory in their last four championship matches (1 loss). Notably, Chernomorets kept their first clean sheet in the FNL 2025/26 season, being the last club to achieve this milestone. In total, Novorossiysk has conceded 16 goals, with only Volga (21) and Chaika (26) having worse defensive records. Vadim Evseev’s team has moved up to 12th place in the standings, three points clear of the relegation zone.

Chernomorets Statistics

• The team scored in 4 of their last 5 First League matches.
• Away from home, Novorossiysk has not won in 6 FNL matches (3 draws, 3 losses).
• In 10 of their last 11 away games in this tournament, Chernomorets has not conceded more than one goal.

Chernomorets’ Probable Lineup (4-3-3)

Mikhail Shtepa – Oleg Nikolaev, Stanislav Puzanov, Zaurbek Pliev, Ilya Kirsh – Zaur Tarba, Anton Antonov, Kirill Morozov – Ilya Zhigulev, Said Aliev, Vladislav Lozhkin.

Match Official

Roman Safyan (Russia)

Matches officiated – 5 (First League, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties awarded – 20%.

Match Prediction: Torpedo vs Chernomorets

The Muscovites defeated Yenisey, who were close to them in the standings, in the previous round with a single goal. Without diminishing Alexander Yushin’s achievement, repeating such a goal would require many attempts from the forward. This victory was only Torpedo’s second in the current championship. At home, the capital club has not won in 5 of their last 6 FNL matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

Vadim Evseev’s arrival has revitalized Novorossiysk. Under his leadership, the team has secured 3 victories in 4 matches, with their only loss coming away to SKA-Khabarovsk. However, playing in the Far East is challenging for any club. It’s worth noting that this was only Chernomorets’ third defeat in their last 11 away games in the First League (5 wins, 3 draws). We should also highlight the other two opponents the team lost to during this period: Ural is a contender for promotion, and Shinnik is currently very difficult to score against.

My prediction: “Chernomorets Win or Draw” with odds of 1.78.