Match Preview

The 13th-round match of the PARI First League (FNL) between SKA-Khabarovsk and Shinnik will take place on October 5th at the V. I. Lenin Stadium. SKA-Khabarovsk vs Shinnik: prediction and bet, odds, statistics.

SKA-Khabarovsk Team Analysis

After a 7-match winless streak in the championship (3 draws, 4 losses), Aleksey Poddubsky’s team secured two consecutive victories against Chernomorets (1:0) and Ural (2:1). It’s worth noting that in the game against Yekaterinburg, the Far Easterners scored more than one goal for only the second time in FNL 2025/26. However, SKA-Khabarovsk conceded goals in 8 of their last 9 matches in the First League. The club has climbed to 10th place in the standings.

• Both teams scored in 5 of Khabarovsk’s previous 7 championship games.
• At home, the team remained undefeated in 7 of their last 8 FNL matches (4 wins, 3 draws).
• In their last 7 home games in this tournament, the club scored exactly 1 goal.

SKA-Khabarovsk Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Aleksey Kuznetsov – Gleb Gurban, Aleksandr Mukhin, Egor Noskov, David Shavlokhov – Vasily Aleynikov, Batraz Gurtsiev, Andrey Anisimov, Sadyg Bagiyev, Jordi Tur – Dmitry Tsypchenko.

Shinnik Team Analysis

Having beaten Rotor (2:0) at home in the last round, Yaroslavl extended their unbeaten streak in the First League to 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws). It’s important to note that the team has not conceded a goal in 6 consecutive matches in this tournament. However, Shinnik demonstrates modest scoring efficiency: the club has only 9 goals scored, with only three opponents having a worse record. In the general standings, Yaroslavl is in 9th place.

• No more than two goals were scored in Shinnik’s last 7 FNL games.
• Away from home, the team remained undefeated in 5 of their previous 6 championship matches (1 win, 4 draws).
• In 8 of their last 10 away games in this tournament, Shinnik scored no more than once.

Shinnik Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Timofey Mitrov – Vadim Karpov, Kirill Malyarov, Nikita Kotin, Artemiy Kosogorov – Artyom Golubev, Oleg Lanin, Daniil Kornyushin, Dmitry Samoylov, Albek Gongapshev – Ruslan Kul.

Match Referee

Aleksey Lapatukhin (Russia)

Referee Statistics

Matches – 5 (First League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellow) – 20;

Average yellow cards per match – 4;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 20%.

Match Prediction: SKA-Khabarovsk vs Shinnik

Khabarovsk in the last round not only managed to beat one of the contenders for promotion but also scored two goals against Yekaterinburg. Prior to this, the team had not scored more than once in 9 FNL matches. It should be noted that one of the goals in the game against Ural was scored from a penalty by Aleksey Poddubsky’s side. However, on their home turf in the championship, SKA-Khabarovsk has not scored more than one effective strike in 7 consecutive matches.

Yaroslavl is close to breaking Baltika’s record “clean sheet” streak from last season. Artyom Buloychik’s team now has 6 consecutive clean sheets. Furthermore, Shinnik has not conceded more than one goal in any away match in the current championship, and their total of 3 goals conceded is the best record in the tournament. It is unlikely that the attacking prowess of their upcoming opponent will trouble such a strong defense.

Analyst’s Pick

My prediction: “SKA-Khabarovsk Individual Total Under 1.5 Goals” with odds 1.52

Author: Aleksey Tarabrin