Rotor
12.10.2025 16:00 (GMT+2)
Chernomorets
[1] - 2.15
Х - 3.11
[2] - 4.11
1$
2.15
1$
4.11

Rotor — Chernomorets : Match Preview and Prediction for October 12,2025

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Rotor vs Chernomorets: Match Prediction & Analysis

Match Preview: Rotor vs Chernomorets

The 14th round match of the , featuring Rotor and Chernomorets, is scheduled for October 12 at Volgograd Arena. This prediction provides insights, betting tips, coefficients, and statistics for the Rotor vs Chernomorets encounter.

Rotor Team Analysis

Rotor’s Recent Form

In their previous league outing, Rotor secured a goalless draw away against Neftekhimik (0-0). The Volgograd side is currently enduring a three-match winless streak in the FNL (two draws, one loss), marking their longest such run this season. Notably, Denis Boyarintsev’s squad has failed to score a single goal during this period, a scoring drought not seen since 2018 in the First League. Rotor currently holds the 5th position in the league standings.

 

Key Statistics for Rotor

  • At least one team has failed to score in Rotor’s last 6 league matches.
  • At home, the team has remained undefeated in 5 of their last 6 FNL fixtures (4 wins, 1 draw).
  • Rotor has scored no more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 home games in this competition.

Rotor’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Nikita Chagrov – Denis Fomin, Vyacheslav Bardybakhin, Aleksandr Korotkov, Nikolay Pokidyshev – Sergey Makarov, Ilya Safronov, Artem Simonyan, Imran Aznaurov, Maxim Kainov – Aleksandr Khokhlachev.

Advanced Team Metrics for Rotor

  • On average, the team completes 18.5 successful tackles per game, ranking third in the league.
  • Rotor is among the top two teams in the league for successful dribbles in the final third, with a 59% success rate.
  • The Volgograd players win 46% of their offensive duels, placing them fourth in the competition.

Chernomorets Team Analysis

Chernomorets’ Current Form

Chernomorets secured an impressive 4-1 away victory against Torpedo in their last match. This win marks their fourth victory in the last five league games (with only one loss). However, Vadim Evseev’s team has managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of these recent fixtures. Furthermore, Chernomorets has conceded goals in 13 of their last 14 matches in this competition. The club currently sits in 12th place overall, yet they are among the top two highest-scoring teams in the bottom half of the league table.

Key Statistics for Chernomorets

  • The team has scored in 5 of their last 6 First League matches.
  • Chernomorets has failed to win in 6 of their last 7 away FNL matches (3 draws, 3 losses).
  • The club has conceded goals in their last 7 away games in this tournament.

Chernomorets’ Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Mikhail Shtepa – Oleg Nikolaev, Stanislav Puzanov, Zaurbek Pliev, Ilya Kirsh – Zaur Tarba, Anton Antonov, Kirill Morozov – Ilya Zhigulev, Said Aliyev, Ilya Rodionov.

Match Referee: Igor Zakharov

Referee Statistics

Igor Zakharov (Russia)

Matches officiated – 17 (First League, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 23%.

Match Prediction: Rotor vs Chernomorets

Rotor’s Home Advantage

The Volgograd side has concluded an extended series of away matches. Denis Boyarintsev’s men played three consecutive away fixtures, earning two points without even scoring a single goal. However, Rotor demonstrates a significantly stronger performance on home turf, having remained unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 FNL matches at home (4 wins, 1 draw). Notably, the only goal conceded during this period occurred in their sole home defeat.

Chernomorets’ Away Challenges

Chernomorets’ two recent commanding victories should not be misinterpreted. Torpedo and Chayka are teams battling against relegation, ranking among the bottom three in the league for goals conceded. Consequently, Chernomorets will likely find it challenging to achieve high scoring against the Volgograd team. In fact, throughout the current season, the club has scored no more than one goal in 5 of their 7 away fixtures. Furthermore, their recent win against Torpedo marked their first away victory in the FNL 2025/26 season (after 3 draws and 3 losses).

Our Betting Pick

Considering these factors, our prediction is:  Rotor will not lose, and Total Goals Under 3.5 with odds of 1.45.

Match Predictions: Rotor vs Chernomorets October 12, 2025

Alexey Karpuk Profile Picture
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Alexey Karpuk
92 / 8 / 81 / ROI 0.7%

Expert Forecast by Alexey Karpuk

In recent weeks, the gap in the league table between Rotor and Chernomorets has narrowed, primarily due to the Volgograd side’s weak attacking form. A victory on Sunday could propel Boyarintsev’s team into the top three of the First League, but Evseev’s solid defense aims to secure points away from home.

Rotor’s attacking issues began in the second half of September, with only one goal scored in their last four matches. Looking at the period since the beginning of autumn, the “Both Teams to Score – No” bet has landed in six of Rotor’s seven fixtures. In away games against Shinnik (0-2) and Neftekhimik (0-0), Boyarintsev’s team managed a combined nine shots on target, yet failed to find the net.

Chernomorets continues its positive run of results. Their dominant 4-1 win over Torpedo allowed the Novorossiysk team to open up a six-point lead from the relegation zone. They have secured four victories in their last five matchdays (the best record in the First League over this period). Away from home, Evseev’s team has only seen over 2.5 goals twice in seven matches. In Volgograd, Chernomorets is likely to cede possession to Rotor, a strategy that also suits Rotor as they prefer to play on the counter.

I doubt that the final game of the round will be an open affair. Both Rotor and Chernomorets value their positions in the table. I would highlight the “Both Teams to Score – No” option in the odds line.

 

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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