Match Preview: Rodina vs Yenisey

The 9th-round match of the PARI First League (FNL) between “Rodina” and “Yenisey” will take place on September 7 at “Arena Khimki”. Here’s our comprehensive prediction, analysis, and statistics for this anticipated “Rodina” – “Yenisey” encounter.

Rodina’s Recent Resurgence

After a challenging 6-match winless streak to kick off the tournament (comprising 4 draws and 2 losses), the Moscow club has successfully secured two consecutive victories. These wins came against “Torpedo” (3:0) and “Neftekhimik” (5:1), showcasing a significant upturn in form. The impressive tally of eight goals scored across these two recent fixtures has propelled “Rodina” to the 5th position among the league’s most prolific attacking teams, and their overall league standing has climbed to eighth. However, in terms of goals conceded (9), they only marginally outperform Khabarovsk (10) within the top half of the table.

The team has also seen a change in leadership, with Spanish specialist Juan Diaz now at the helm as the new coach.

Rodina’s Key Statistical Insights

• Both teams found the net in 7 of Rodina’s last 9 FNL matches.
• Playing on their home turf, the team has remained undefeated in 8 of their previous 9 First League fixtures (securing 6 wins and 2 draws).
• In 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament, the club was unable to keep a clean sheet.

Rodina’s Projected Starting Lineup

Sergey Volkov – Mitya Krizan, Leo Goglichidze, Artem Meshchaninov, Ilya Dyatlov – Arshak Koryan, Ruslan Fishchenko, Pape Gueye, Ivan Timoshenko, Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov – Artem Maksimenko.

Yenisey’s Steady Progress

Having drawn points with “Shinnik” (0:0) in the last round, the Krasnoyarsk side extended their unbeaten run in the championship to an impressive 4 matches (with 2 victories and 2 draws). Notably, the team kept three clean sheets during this period. In fact, in terms of shutouts in FNL 2025/26 (4), only “Fakel” (5) boasts a better record than Andrey Tikhonov’s squad. It is worth highlighting that in their match against Yaroslavl, the club registered its lowest shots on target figure for the season – just 1, significantly below their average of 3.5. “Yenisey” currently occupies the 12th spot in the league standings.

Yenisey’s Key Statistical Insights

• Krasnoyarsk has failed to score more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 matches in the First League.
• On the road, the team has avoided defeat in 6 of their last 7 FNL encounters (achieving 2 wins and 4 draws).
• In 5 of their last 7 away games in this competition, “Yenisey” conceded no more than one goal.

Yenisey’s Projected Starting Lineup

Egor Shamov – Artur Gilyazetdinov, Alexander Maslovsky, Nikita Bogatyrev, Emerson Illoy-Ayet – Ivan Zazvonkin, Andrea Chukanov, Andrey Mazurin, Alexander Nadolsky – Luka Ratkovic, Andrey Okladnikov.

Referee Profile: Artur Fedorov

Artur Fedorov (Russia)

Matches officiated – 15 (First League, 2022/23 – 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 83;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.5;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties awarded – 6%.

Exclusive Match Prediction: Rodina vs Yenisey

The Moscow team has dramatically improved their attacking output, scoring nearly twice as many goals in their last two rounds as they did in their initial six championship matches combined. While their early-season goal drought was perplexing, “Rodina” has clearly found its scoring touch, and it’s improbable they will halt this momentum. Furthermore, at home, the Muscovites have consistently found the back of the net in 9 consecutive FNL matches, amassing 24 goals during this impressive run. Crucially, their offensive power translates into results: “Rodina” has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 home fixtures, securing 6 victories.

In contrast, Krasnoyarsk has managed only two victories in the current championship campaign (alongside 3 draws and 3 losses). Both of their wins came against “Sokol” and “Chernomorets,” teams currently positioned in the relegation zone. While “Yenisey” boasts three consecutive clean sheets in the FNL, it’s essential to consider the caliber of their recent opponents: the two aforementioned struggling sides and “Shinnik,” which ranks as the third-lowest scoring team. Prior to this defensive streak, Andrey Tikhonov’s men conceded at least two goals in 4 of their previous 5 First League matches. Moreover, the team has failed to win in 6 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament (recording 4 draws and 2 losses).

Based on these factors, our prediction is: “Rodina will not lose and Total Goals Over 1.5” with competitive odds.