Neftekhimik
05.10.2025 18:00 (GMT+2)
Rotor Volgograd
[1] - 3.39
Х - 3.11
[2] - 2.36
1$
3.39
1$
2.36

Neftekhimik — Rotor Volgograd : Match Preview and Prediction for October 05,2025

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Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd: Match Prediction

Match Overview

The 13th-round fixture of the between Neftekhimik and Rotor Volgograd is scheduled for October 5 at the Neftekhimik Stadium in Nizhnekamsk. This detailed forecast provides insights, coefficients, and statistics for the upcoming Neftekhimik – Rotor Volgograd encounter.

Neftekhimik Team Performance

Neftekhimik recently secured a 1-0 home victory against Arsenal Tula. This marks the Nizhnekamsk team’s third consecutive win in the FNL, a victorious streak they haven’t achieved since March 2024. Additionally, Kirill Novikov’s squad has scored in 6 consecutive First League matches, while also keeping a clean sheet five times – a defensive record surpassed by only four other teams. This consistent form has elevated them to 8th position in the league standings.

 

Neftekhimik Key Statistics

  • Fewer than three goals were scored in 5 out of Neftekhimik’s last 7 championship matches.
  • On their home turf, the club has failed to win in 8 of their previous 10 FNL fixtures.
  • In their last 10 home games in this competition, Neftekhimik has not scored more than one goal.

Neftekhimik’s Provisional Lineup (4-3-3)

Timofey Kashintsev – Nikolay Tolstopyatov, Eduard Valiakhmetov, Maxim Shiryaev, Dmitry Shadrintsev – Ivan Bober, David Kokoev, Konstantin Shiltsov – Daniil Rodin, Andrey Nikitin, Rashid Magomedov.

Rotor Volgograd Team Performance

Following a 0-2 defeat to Shinnik in the last round, Rotor Volgograd’s four-match unbeaten run in the championship (comprising 3 wins and 1 draw) came to an end. Remarkably, this was only the second instance in the FNL 2025/26 season where the Volgograd side conceded more than one goal. Furthermore, against Yaroslavl, Rotor Volgograd did not receive a single yellow card for the first time this season (their average stands at 2.6). Rotor Volgograd currently sits in 5th place in the overall standings, boasting one of the top three defensive records in the league.

 

Rotor Volgograd Key Statistics

  • At least one team failed to score in 5 of Rotor Volgograd’s previous 5 First League matches.
  • Away from home, the team has failed to win in 5 of its last 7 championship matches (2 draws, 3 defeats).
  • In 10 of their last 13 away games in the FNL, Rotor Volgograd did not score more than one goal.

Rotor Volgograd’s Provisional Lineup (4-5-1)

Nikita Chagrov – Denis Fomin, Vyacheslav Bardybakhin, Alexander Korotkov, Nikolay Pokidyshev – Sergey Makarov, David Davidyan, Artem Simonyan, Imran Aznaurov, Maxim Kainov – Alexander Khokhlachev.

Rotor Volgograd’s Advanced Metrics

  • The team ranks second in the tournament for successful high-pressing attempts – 59.
  • Rotor Volgograd averages 12.5 shots on goal, which is the fifth-highest in the league.
  • Rotor Volgograd has the second-highest rate of ball recoveries in the opponent’s half – 133.

Match Official

Vladimir Falov (Russia)

Referee Statistics (2025/26 Season)

Matches officiated – 5 (First League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second cautions) – 19;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties awarded – 40%.

Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd Match Forecast

Nizhnekamsk has remained unbeaten in their last 4 championship matches (3 wins, 1 draw). In three of these games, a single goal was enough for the team to secure points. The only exception was a high-scoring fixture against Ulyanovsk, where Kirill Novikov’s side displayed an unexpected attacking prowess. However, Volga Ulyanovsk is currently among the two weakest defensive teams in the tournament. It is improbable that Neftekhimik will be able to replicate such an offensive output against their upcoming opponent.

Rotor Volgograd’s impressive four-match defensive run in the championship concluded in the previous round. Interestingly, their opponents from Yaroslavl did not even register an expected goals (xG) value of one. It is unlikely that Rotor Volgograd will experience a similar defensive breakdown in two consecutive matches. Denis Boyarintsev’s team has also failed to score in their last two away FNL games. A significant increase in offensive performance is not anticipated for this upcoming match. Furthermore, Neftekhimik has kept clean sheets in 4 of their 7 home matches this season.

 

My Betting Forecast

My prediction: “Total Goals Under 2.5” with odds of 1.45.

Match Predictions: Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd, October 5, 2025

Alexey Karpuk
р
Alexey Karpuk
79 / 9 / 76 / ROI -6.3%

Alexey Karpuk’s Expert Prediction

Over the past two weeks, Rotor Volgograd has reverted to its fundamental defensive strategy, employing a low block. Neftekhimik has maintained a similar conservative approach, which hasn’t prevented them from achieving a four-match winning streak. In Nizhnekamsk, both mid-table teams are expected to face significant challenges in creating scoring opportunities.

Thanks to a narrow 1-0 victory over Arsenal Tula, Neftekhimik has climbed into the top half of the table. Among the top-8 teams, Novikov’s squad has the second-worst attack (13 goals), with only Fakel scoring fewer (10) before Shalimov’s dismissal. Against Tula, Neftekhimik managed to overcome their opponent through counter-attacks, despite both sides struggling offensively (15-17 shots, 3-4 on target). In 12 FNL rounds, Neftekhimik has only seen over 2.5 goals scored in three matches.

Rotor Volgograd has only seen over 2.5 goals scored once in their last four league performances. Since September 20th, the Volgograd team has scored just one goal across three matches against Ural (0-0) and Shinnik (0-2) in the First League, and Veles (1-2) in the Russian Cup. In their last five away championship matches, Rotor Volgograd has seen “Both Teams to Score – No” hit four times, indicating discomfort when playing an open style away from home.

In the previous campaign, Neftekhimik and Rotor Volgograd exchanged modest home victories (both 1-0). I predict “Both Teams to Score – No,” as both teams are unlikely to abandon their cautious, defensive styles.

Prediction
Both Teams to Score – No
Odds
Coefficient
1.58
 

History of confrontations

Last matches Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd

Neftekhimik
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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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