Match Overview and Betting Insight

The 11th-round fixture in the (FNL) between Arsenal Tula and Ufa is set to take place on September 20 at Arsenal Stadium. This comprehensive preview offers a prediction and a betting tip, including key statistics for the Arsenal Tula vs Ufa encounter.

Arsenal Tula: Current Form and Recent Struggles

Dmitry Gunko’s squad recently faced a home defeat against Spartak Kostroma, ending with a 1:2 scoreline. This result marks their third loss in the last four league matches (with only one victory), a notable dip in form considering their strong start to the season with a 6-match unbeaten streak. It’s worth highlighting that Arsenal Tula has only failed to score in one game this season, with only Chelyabinsk boasting a higher scoring frequency. This recent downturn has seen the club fall to 8th place in the overall standings.

• Tula has conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 First League matches.
• At home, the team has been unable to secure a win in 7 of their last 8 FNL matches (5 draws, 2 losses).
• Both teams found the net in Arsenal’s last 5 home league fixtures.

Arsenal Tula: Projected Starting Line-up

Mikhail Tsulaya – Kirill Bolshakov, Alexey Berdnikov, Erving Botaka-Ioboma, Daniil Penchikov – Danil Lipovoy, Reziuan Mirzov, Tigran Avanesyan, Edarlin Reyes, Alan Tsaraev – Amur Kalmykov.

Ufa: Road Woes and Defensive Concerns

Under Omari Tetradze, Ufa has suffered back-to-back 2:3 defeats in their last two league outings against Chernomorets and Ural, respectively. The Ufa team has only secured one victory in their previous 7 championship matches (2 draws, 4 losses). These results are increasingly pushing the club towards the relegation zone, with their current buffer being a mere three points. Notably, in their game against Yekaterinburg, Ufa recorded 6 shots on target – double their season average.

• A minimum of 4 goals was scored in 4 of Ufa’s last 5 First League matches.
• The team has lost 6 of their last 8 away matches in this competition (1 win, 1 draw).
• In 11 of their last 13 away FNL games, the club has scored no more than one goal.

Ufa: Projected Starting Line-up

Alexander Belenov – Ivan Khomukha, Alexander Tenyaev, David Ozmanov, Evgeniy Shlyakov – Danil Akhatov, Migran Ageyan, Nikita Matskharashvili, Zalimkhan Yusupov, Shamil Isaev – Dylan Ortiz.

Match Official: Referee Anton Sidorin’s Profile

Anton Sidorin (Russia)

Matches officiated – 18 (First and Second Leagues, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 70;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 27;

Penalties awarded – 12%.

Arsenal Tula vs Ufa: Main Prediction and Betting Tip

Arsenal Tula is navigating a challenging patch in the championship, but it’s premature to declare a full-blown crisis. While they’ve suffered three defeats in their last four FNL matches, those losses came against strong contenders like Spartak and Fakel, both currently in the top three. Furthermore, against Kostroma, Dmitry Gunko’s side conceded two goals in the final 10 minutes, and a frustrating loss to Volga saw them concede moments before the final whistle. At their home ground, the Tula team generally performs well, having avoided defeat in 5 of their last 6 First League matches (1 win, 4 draws).

Ufa, in contrast, has displayed consistently poor away form. They are yet to secure an away victory in the current championship. Historically, the club has managed only one win in their last 18 away FNL encounters (5 draws, 12 losses). It’s also critical to note that Ufa has shipped 6 goals in their last two league rounds – a significant tally, representing half of all goals conceded since the start of the tournament.

Despite some defensive vulnerabilities for Tula, these issues should not prevent the hosts from claiming points in this fixture. My confident prediction is: “Arsenal Tula will not lose and Total Over 1.5 goals”, offered at competitive odds of 1.78.