Match Overview

The match of the 13th round of the (FNL) between Chayka and Rodina will take place on October 4 at the ‘Chayka Central Stadium named after I. P. Chayka’ in Peschanokopskoye. Here’s a detailed forecast, betting odds, and statistics for the Chayka vs Rodina encounter.

Team Analysis: Chayka

Chayka’s Current Form

In the previous round, Chayka managed to snatch points from Fakel away (0-0). This result ended Dmitry Kombarov’s side’s 7-match losing streak in the championship. Furthermore, it was the first clean sheet for Peschanokopskoye in their last 10 matches in this tournament. However, Chayka itself failed to score for the fifth time in its previous 7 FNL fixtures. The club currently occupies the last place in the standings, trailing the safe 15th spot by 3 points.

Key Statistics for Chayka

• At least three goals were scored in 6 of Chayka’s last 8 matches in the First League.
• The club has failed to win at home for 5 consecutive league matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
• In 6 of their last 8 home games in this tournament, Chayka conceded at least two goals.

Chayka’s Predicted Line-up (4-4-2)

Semyon Fadeev – Nikolay Pridava, Pavel Maslov, Daniil Stolyarov, Artyom Krutovskikh – Yuri Petin, Artyom Sokolov, Egor Gulyaev, Aleksandr Rasputko – Arseniy Filev, Ruslan Chervyakov.

Team Analysis: Rodina

Rodina’s Current Form

The Moscow club secured a 2-0 home victory against Sokol in the previous round. This win marked their fifth victory in the last six championship matches (1 loss). Notably, in 4 of these matches, Rodina managed to keep a clean sheet. In total, the team has 5 clean sheets this season. Juan Diaz’s proteges have climbed to the 6th position in the overall standings.

Key Statistics for Rodina

• At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Rodina’s last 6 FNL games.
• Rodina conceded goals in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the First League.
• The club has failed to win away in 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament (2 draws, 3 losses).

Rodina’s Predicted Line-up (4-5-1)

Sergey Volkov – Mitja Krizan, Stanislav Bessmertny, Ilya Dyatlov, Artyom Meshchaninov – Ivan Timoshenko, Ruslan Fishchenko, Astemir Gordyushenko, Jordi Reyna, Kirill Ushatov – Artyom Maksimenko.

Referee Profile

Referee: Anton Anopa (Russia)

Matches officiated – 17 (First League, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 5%.

Match Prediction: Chayka vs Rodina

Analyzing Chayka’s Defensive Struggles

Peschanokopskoye delivered the biggest sensation of the previous round. Dmitry Kombarov’s team managed to take points from one of the contenders for promotion and even kept a clean sheet against Voronezh. I doubt that the team with the worst defense in the league will repeat this feat for a second consecutive match. Especially considering that in Chayka’s 5 home matches in FNL 2025/26, 16 goals have been conceded.

Rodina’s Offensive Prowess

The Moscow club scored two goals against Sokol in the previous round, a team that, although neighboring Chayka in the standings, has conceded twice as many goals. Thus, Rodina has scored at least twice in 5 of their last 6 FNL matches. I don’t believe Chayka will be able to withstand the pressure from Juan Diaz’s side. Moscow is second in the league for created scoring chances, while Peschanokopskoye allows the most chances near their own goal.

Final Forecast

My prediction: “Rodina Win and Total Goals Over 1.5”.

Author: Alexey Tarabrin