Match Overview

The match of the 14th round of the PARI First League (FNL) between Arsenal Tula and Torpedo Moscow will take place on October 11 at the Arsenal Stadium. Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow: prediction and bet, odds, statistics.

Arsenal Tula Team Analysis

Current Form

The team drew with Sokol (1:1) away in the last round. Tula has not managed to win in 5 championship matches (2 draws, 3 losses), and Dmitry Gunko’s charges have conceded goals in 7 consecutive meetings in this tournament. The club has conceded a total of 16 goals, with only four opponents having a worse record. However, in terms of scoring (18 goals scored), Arsenal is among the top 7 in the tournament. In the overall standings, the team occupies 11th place, moving 6 points clear of the relegation zone.

Key Statistics for Arsenal Tula

• Both opponents scored in 5 of Tula’s last 7 First League matches.
• At home, the club has not lost in 6 of its last 7 games in this tournament (1 win, 5 draws).
• In 6 previous home matches in the FNL, Arsenal conceded at least one goal.

Predicted Line-up for Arsenal Tula (4-5-1)

Mikhail Tsulaya – Kirill Bolshakov, Alexey Berdnikov, Nikita Karmaev, Daniil Penchikov – Danil Lipovoy, Alexander Troshechkin, Alan Tsaraev, Ilya Azyavin, Tigran Avanesyan – Amur Kalmykov.

Torpedo Moscow Team Analysis

Current Form and Recent Performance

The capital club lost 1:4 at home to Chernomorets in the last round. Torpedo has won only one of its last 8 championship matches (2 draws, 5 losses), and due to these results, Dmitry Parfenov’s team is at the bottom of the tournament table, but the gap to the safe 15th spot is 2 points. It is worth noting that the Muscovites scored in 4 of their last 5 FNL matches, and in the game against Novorossiysk, the team took 10 shots on target, more than double their average for this indicator (4.5).

Key Statistics for Torpedo Moscow

• In 5 of the last 7 away games in the championship, Torpedo failed to score.
• The Muscovites conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches in this tournament.
• The team did not lose to Tula in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches in the FNL (2 wins, 3 draws).

Predicted Line-up for Torpedo Moscow (4-4-2)

Rostislav Soldatenko – Sergey Borodin, Oleg Kozhemyakin, Bojan Roganovic, Egor Danilkin – Mario Curic, Vladimir Moskvichev, Kirill Danilin, Alexander Lomakin – Alexey Kashtanov, Alexander Yushin.

Referee Overview

Match Official Details

Yuri Karpov (Russia)

Matches officiated – 9 (First League, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellow) – 41;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 11%.

Match Prediction: Arsenal Tula – Torpedo Moscow

Analysis of Team Performance

Torpedo Moscow’s crisis is deepening. In the last round, Torpedo suffered its third heavy defeat in the current championship, and even their home ground couldn’t help the team. Away from home, the capital club has only managed to defeat the equally struggling Yenisey this season (2 draws, 4 losses). In such a situation, a strong home team like Arsenal Tula has a good chance of gaining points. Tula has not lost on their home turf in 6 of their last 7 FNL matches, with the only defeat in this period coming to Dmitry Gunko’s side just moments before the final whistle.

Scoring Potential and Final Bet

Arsenal’s scoring ability is also noteworthy. The team scores at the level of the league leaders, and no opponent has managed to keep Tula scoreless at home in the current FNL-2025/26 season. However, the club has also conceded in all home matches in FNL-2025/26. Torpedo will undoubtedly have scoring opportunities, as they have at least started to consistently find the back of the net, although this is not always enough to earn points.

My prediction: “Arsenal Tula to Win or Draw and Total Goals Over 1.5” with odds of 2.02