Match Overview

The first leg of the 2025/26 FONBET Russian Cup RPL Path Quarter-Final between Orenburg and Krasnodar is scheduled for November 5 at the Gazovik Stadium. This article provides a comprehensive prediction, betting insights, coefficients, and statistics for the “Orenburg” vs “Krasnodar” encounter.

Orenburg Team Analysis

Orenburg concluded the group stage in second place. They remained undefeated in regular time in 3 out of 6 matches (2 wins, 1 draw), ultimately outperforming their closest rival by two points. However, the club recorded the highest number of conceded goals in Group A – 14. Furthermore, among all participants in the main round, only Sochi (18) had a worse defensive record. It’s worth noting that Orenburg last advanced past the RPL Path Quarter-Final in the 2023/24 season.

Orenburg Key Statistics

• At least one team failed to score in 5 of Orenburg’s last 7 Russian Cup matches.
• In 4 of their last 5 home matches in this tournament, the team conceded no more than one goal.
• At home in the national Cup, Orenburg failed to win in regular time in 5 of their last 7 matches (1 draw, 4 losses).

Orenburg Provisional Lineup (3-4-3)*

Nikolai Sysuev – Artyom Kasimov, Stanislav Oleinik, Nikolai Koserik – Du Queiroz, Stanislav Poroykov, Pavel Gorelov, Vladislav Kamilov – Gideon Guzina, Atsamaz Revazov, Emircan Gürlük.

Team News: Orenburg

Forward Atsamaz Revazov is suspended for the match.

Krasnodar Team Analysis

Krasnodar emerged as the winners of Group B. Murad Musaev’s charges began the group stage with a loss, but this was their only defeat in regular time (4 wins and 1 draw). Notably, in 4 matches during their unbeaten run, Krasnodar scored at least twice. Overall, the club netted 14 goals, which was the best offensive performance in their group. Additionally, Krasnodar has successfully navigated the group stage for the fourth consecutive time.

Krasnodar Key Statistics

• At least three goals were scored in 9 of the team’s last 10 national Cup games.
• Away from home, Krasnodar remained undefeated in regular time in 5 of their last 7 tournament matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
• The club conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Russian Cup.

Krasnodar Provisional Lineup (4-5-1)*

Alexander Koryakin – Valentin Paltsev, Artyom Khmarin, Vitor Tormena, Giovanni Gonzalez – Alexander Chernikov, Kevin Lenini, Danila Kozlov, Nikita Krivtsov, Gaetan Perrin – Gustavo Furtado.

Match Prediction: Orenburg vs Krasnodar

Orenburg ranked only third in terms of goal-scoring efficiency within their group. Nevertheless, the team consistently finds the back of the net in the national Cup, especially in home fixtures. In this tournament, they have scored in 6 of their last 8 home matches, with Orenburg netting at least twice in 5 of those instances. It’s worth noting that in their last RPL round, the team also displayed strong attacking prowess, scoring three goals against Sochi.

While Krasnodar exhibits excellent defensive play in the RPL, they tend to allow more opportunities at their goal in the Russian Cup. They managed to keep a clean sheet in only 3 of their last 11 matches in this competition. Their away performance is particularly telling, with Krasnodar conceding 11 goals in their last 6 national Cup away games. Furthermore, Murad Musaev’s team will face Orenburg amidst a challenging period in the Premier League, which, I believe, will be their primary focus.

My prediction for this match is: Orenburg Individual Total Over 0.5 goals, with a coefficient of 1.55.

Author’s Note

Author: Alexey Tarabrin

* The starting lineup listed for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.