Krylya Sovetov
01.10.2025 18:00 (GMT+2)
Sochi
[1] - 2.07
Х - 3.40
[2] - 3.65
1$
2.07
1$
3.65

Krylya Sovetov — Sochi : Match Preview and Prediction for October 01,2025

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Krylya Sovetov vs Sochi: Forecast

Match Overview

The 5th round match of the FONBET 2025/26 between Krylya Sovetov and Sochi will take place on October 1st at the Solidarnost Samara Arena. Here’s a detailed preview, including our prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for Krylya Sovetov vs Sochi.

Krylya Sovetov Team Analysis

Recent Performance and Statistics

The Samara-based club suffered a 1:2 home defeat to Krasnodar in their last fixture. They are yet to secure a victory in regular time during this tournament campaign. Furthermore, Krylya Sovetov has failed to win in 90 minutes across their last 12 matches, recording 3 draws and 9 losses. Despite this, the team managed to score in 7 of these encounters. However, with only 4 goals scored, Magomed Adiev’s squad has the worst offensive record in Group B. Overall, the Samara side currently sits in 3rd place.

 
  • At least three goals were scored in 7 of Krylya Sovetov’s last 9 national Cup matches.
  • The team has not secured a win in regular time in their last 9 home games in this competition (3 draws, 6 losses).
  • In 5 of their last 6 home fixtures, the club conceded at least two goals.

Expected Lineup for Krylya Sovetov (4-4-2)*

Nikita Kokarev – Sergey Bozhin, Nikita Chernov, Ivan Lepskiy, Kirill Pechenin – Aleksey Sutormin, Maxim Vityugov, Dmitry Ivanisenya, Fernando Constanza – Amir Rahmanovic, Ivan Oleynikov.

Team News: Injuries

Forwards Vladimir Khubulov and Vadim Rakov, along with midfielders Sergey Babkin and Maxim Vityugov, are currently sidelined due to injuries.

Sochi Team Analysis

Recent Form and Cup Standings

Sochi suffered a significant 0:4 home defeat to Dynamo Moscow in their previous match. In the current campaign, the team has managed to secure only two points (1 draw and 3 losses in regular time). With these results, Igor Osinkin’s side currently occupies the bottom spot in Group B. While they still possess theoretical chances to advance to the playoffs, these hopes will be extinguished with a defeat in the upcoming game. It’s worth noting that their 11-match scoring streak in this tournament was broken in the encounter against the capital club.

  • Both teams scored in 5 of Sochi’s last 6 national Cup matches.
  • On the road, the club avoided defeat in 5 of their last 7 matches (2 wins and 3 draws in regular time).
  • In 5 of their last 7 away games in this tournament, Sochi conceded no more than one goal.

Expected Lineup for Sochi (4-4-2)*

Ivan Lomaev – Kirill Zaika, Aleksandr Osipov, Ignacio Saavedra, Vyacheslav Litvinov – Solomon Agbalaka, Maxim Mukhin, Ruslan Magal, Aleksandr Kovalenko – Ruslan Bart, Artem Korneev.

Team News: Injuries and Departures

Striker Pavel Meleshin, midfielder Mikhail Ignatov, and defender Marcelo Alves are injured. Forward Saul Guarirapa has left the team.

Referee Profile

Sergey Cheban (Russia)

Matches – 9 (, 2023/24 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 33%.

Krylya Sovetov vs Sochi Match Prediction

Krylya Sovetov’s Home Advantage and Head-to-Head

For the Samara side to secure at least third place, they simply need to avoid defeat in regular time in the upcoming match. While their recent results haven’t been stellar, the situation isn’t entirely clear-cut. At home, Krylya Sovetov has remained unbeaten in 4 of their last 7 official matches, with their two defeats during this period coming against Krasnodar and one against Dynamo Moscow. The caliber and aspirations of these opponents are considerably higher than those of Sochi. Furthermore, the Samara club has never lost to Sochi in either the Russian Premier League or the , boasting a record of 9 wins and 1 draw.

 

Sochi’s Struggles and Defensive Woes

In stark contrast, Sochi’s performance has been consistently poor. This season, the team has yet to claim a victory in regular time. Moreover, they have suffered defeats in 6 of their last 7 official matches. In 6 of their previous 7 away games in both the Premier League and the National Cup, the club conceded at least two goals. For the 2025/26 , Sochi also holds the unenviable record for the most goals conceded among all group stage participants.

 

Final Betting Tip

Considering these factors, my prediction is ‘Krylya Sovetov not to lose and Total Goals Over 1.5’ with odds of 1.70 Fonbet logo

* The starting lineup listed for each team is from their previous match in this tournament.

Expert Predictions for Krylya Sovetov vs Sochi on October 1, 2025

Artem Egorov avatar
р
Artem Egorov
119 / 6 / 125 / ROI -10.4%

Artem Egorov’s Analysis

Krylya Sovetov and Sochi are two outsiders in Group 5 of the . Only one of them will advance to the next stage, making this head-to-head match decisive. In case of a defeat, Sochi will be prematurely eliminated from any chances.

Krylya Sovetov have lost three matches in a row, but look at their opponents: Spartak (1:2), Dynamo (2:3), and Krasnodar (1:2). All of them are top RPL teams, yet none managed to keep a clean sheet against Krylya. In fact, Krylya last finished a match without scoring back in August, at the very beginning of the season.

Sochi, on the other hand, is having an openly disastrous season. Their winless streak now extends to eight matches, with seven of them ending in defeat. During this period, Sochi conceded 22 goals, only managing to keep a clean sheet against Makhachkala Dynamo, whose attack is the weakest in the league. Moreover, Sochi failed to score in half of these matches themselves.

These teams recently met in the league, and Krylya left Sochi no chance (2:0). Nothing has fundamentally changed since then, so I anticipate a repeat of that result.

Betting Forecast
Krylya Sovetov Win
Odds
Coefficient
2.07
Place a Bet
 

History of confrontations

Last matches Krylya Sovetov vs Sochi

Krylya Sovetov
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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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