Match Overview
The 6th round match of the FONBET 2025/26 Regions’ Path between Fakel and Arsenal Tula will take place on October 30 at Fakel Stadium in Voronezh. Fakel – Arsenal Tula: prediction and bet, odds, statistics.
Fakel
In the previous round, Voronezh defeated Ural at home (1:0). The team managed to win in regular time only for the second time in their last 12 matches (3 draws, 7 losses). It’s worth noting that during this period, Fakel never scored more than one goal. At the same time, they managed to keep a clean sheet in only one match. Additionally, the club last reached the 6th round in the 2011/12 season.
Key Fakel Statistics
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Fakel’s last 6 national Cup matches.
- At home in this tournament, Fakel failed to win in regular time in 10 of their last 11 matches (1 draw, 9 losses).
- In 5 of their last 6 home games, the club conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Fakel’s Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)*
Daniil Frolkin – Yuri Zhuravlev, Albert Gabaraev, Ilya Gaponov – Vyacheslav Yakimov, Nuri Abdokov, Anton Kovalev, Butta Magomedov – Luka Bagatelia, Maxim Turishchev, Merabi Uridia.
Arsenal Tula
In the previous round, Tula defeated Sokol at home with a score of 1:0. Thus, the team did not lose in regular time in 5 of their last 6 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, Arsenal’s scoring streak in this tournament has reached 5 matches. It’s worth noting that the club reached the 6th round of the national Cup for the first time since the 2021/22 season.
Key Arsenal Tula Statistics
- Tula opened the scoring in their last 5 games.
- Away from home, the team did not lose in regular time in 11 of their last 12 matches in this tournament (5 wins, 6 draws).
- In their last 10 away matches, Arsenal conceded no more than one goal.
Arsenal Tula’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)*
David Sangare – Erving Botaka-Ioboma, Nikita Karmaev, Ilya Moskalenchik, Oleg Isaenko – Danil Lipovoy, Reziuan Mirzov, Dmitry Sergeev, Ilya Azyavin, Nikita Razdorskikh – Maxim Maksimov.
Referee
Anton Anopa (Russia)
Referee Statistics
Matches – 5 (, 2017/18 – 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 17;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties awarded – 20%.
Match Prediction: Fakel vs Arsenal Tula
In the previous round, Voronezh defeated an opponent who, along with Fakel, is a contender for promotion to the RPL. Oleg Vasilenko’s immediate opponent is unlikely to be pursuing such goals this season, and Arsenal’s overall form is far from ideal. Tula has not won in the First League for 8 matches (4 draws, 4 losses). Fakel, on the other hand, only loses away from home in the FNL-2025/26.
Fakel achieves good results thanks to their reliable defense. At home in the current championship, the team has conceded only one goal. Arsenal, however, lacks consistency in attack: the club has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 away FNL games. And even in the national Cup, where the level of opposition is lower, Tula rarely produces a goal fest. This usually happens in matches against Second League representatives.
Considering these facts, my prediction is: “Fakel will not lose and Total Under 2.5 goals”.
* For each team, the starting lineup in their previous match in this tournament is indicated.















Mark Thompson