Match Overview
This upcoming 5th-round clash in the FONBET 2025/26 will see Akhmat face Orenburg on September 30 at the Akhmat Arena in Grozny. Below, we provide a comprehensive match preview, including our prediction, betting tips, current odds, and key statistics for Akhmat vs Orenburg.
Akhmat Team Analysis
Recent Performance
In their previous fixture, Akhmat suffered a 1:2 away defeat against Zenit. This loss marked their fourth in the last five outings, where they’ve managed just one victory. Interestingly, all these defeats came with an identical scoreline. The team from Grozny has demonstrated an impressive scoring consistency, finding the net in seven consecutive tournament matches. Currently, Stanislav Cherchesov’s squad sits at the bottom of Group A with 3 points, though they remain within striking distance, trailing second place by just two points.
Key Akhmat Statistics
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Akhmat’s last 8 matches.
- At home in this tournament, the team has a 7-match uncompromising streak (3 wins, 4 losses).
- The club has conceded in 12 of its 14 previous home matches in the national Cup.
Akhmat’s Probable Lineup (4-5-1)*
Vadim Ulyanov – Nader Ghandri, Darko Todorovic, Rizvan Utsiev, Turpal-Ali Ibishev – Manuel Kelianu, Bryan Mansilla, Maksim Samorodov, Rifat Zhemaletdinov, Mehdi Zare – Mohamed Konate.
Orenburg Team Analysis
Recent Form
Under the guidance of Vladimir Slishkovich, Orenburg secured a victory over Rubin in the previous round, winning 4:2 on penalties after a 0:0 draw in regular time. Despite this win, their record in the ‘s regular time matches is less impressive, with only two wins in their last 11 fixtures (1 draw, 8 losses). This recent match also marked a significant milestone, as it was the first time Orenburg kept a clean sheet in the current tournament campaign. Currently, they hold second place in Group A, though they have a defensive vulnerability, having conceded 8 goals – the highest in their group.
Key Orenburg Statistics
- The team has scored in 5 of their 7 previous national Cup games.
- Away from home, Orenburg has lost 6 of their last 7 matches (1 win).
- In 5 of their 7 previous away matches in this tournament, Orenburg has conceded at least two goals.
Orenburg’s Probable Lineup (4-4-2)*
Nikolay Sysuev – Aleksey Tataev, Danila Vedernikov, Nikolay Koserik, Emil Tsenov – Georgi Zotov, Dmitry Rybchinsky, Vladislav Kamilov, Vladan Bubanja – Alexandre Jesus, Atsamaz Revazov.
Match Prediction: Akhmat vs Orenburg
Overall Group A Situation
Group A’s standings are clear only regarding the top spot, with the team facing elimination likely to be determined in the final round. For this upcoming fixture, I believe Akhmat holds a stronger position to secure points, with their home advantage potentially being a decisive factor. Playing on their home turf, Akhmat has shown remarkable resilience, remaining undefeated in 13 of their last 15 official matches (8 wins, 5 draws). Furthermore, they boast an excellent head-to-head record against Orenburg at home, having won 6 out of 8 previous meetings across the RPL and .
Orenburg’s Away Form and Defensive Issues
Conversely, Orenburg’s away form is a significant concern, with only two victories recorded in their last 26 official matches on the road (3 draws, 21 losses). This poor performance is largely attributable to their defensive frailties. In 6 of their last 8 away games in both the Premier League and the national Cup, Orenburg has conceded at least two goals. In the current campaign, the club has already let in 8 goals, a defensive tally only surpassed by Sochi (12) among all group stage competitors.
Our Betting Tip
Based on this analysis, my betting tip is “Akhmat to Win or Draw and Total Goals Over 1.5”, with current odds of
1.45
Note on Lineups
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.















Mark Thompson