Match Overview
The La Liga Matchday 2 fixture between Real Oviedo and Real Madrid is scheduled for August 24th at the Estadio Carlos Tartiere. This preview offers a detailed prediction, including betting insights, odds, and key statistics for the Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid encounter.
Real Oviedo Team Analysis
Recent Form and La Liga Return
Real Oviedo makes its return to La Liga after a 24-year absence, but their comeback started on a difficult note. Veljko Paunović’s side suffered a 0-2 away defeat against Villarreal, conceding both goals before halftime. This marked only their second loss in the last 15 matches across La Liga and Segunda (8 wins, 5 draws).
Squad Reinforcements
The club has strengthened its midfield with the signing of Leander Dendoncker.
Key Statistics for Real Oviedo
- A maximum of two goals were scored in Real Oviedo’s last 4 matches across Spain’s top two divisions.
- Real Oviedo conceded more than one goal for the first time in their last 9 games in these tournaments.
- The team finished their Segunda season with an impressive 8-match unbeaten run at home (6 wins, 2 draws).
Probable Starting Lineup for Real Oviedo (4-4-2)*
Aarnou Escandell – Rahim Alhassan, Dani Calvo, Oier Luengo, Nacho Vidal – Alberto Reina, Ilias Chaira, Kwasi Sibo, Hessem Hassan – Salomon Rondón, Luka Ilić.
Team News: Player Absences
Midfielder Alberto Reina will miss the match due to suspension.
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Strong Start to the Campaign
The Madrid giants commenced their La Liga season with a narrow home victory over Osasuna, securing the decisive goal from the penalty spot. Intriguingly, this marks the fourth time in their history that Real Madrid has opened their La Liga campaign with a home match against the Pamplonans. In all three previous instances, Real Madrid went on to win the championship. This win also represents their fourth consecutive victory in La Liga, during which they have conceded only one goal.
Key Statistics for Real Madrid
- Real Madrid has won 8 of their last 9 league matches.
- The team boasts 4 victories in their last 5 away matches in La Liga.
- They have scored more than two goals in only 2 of their last 10 La Liga games.
Probable Starting Lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)*
Thibaut Courtois – Álvaro Carreras, Dean Huijsen, Éder Militão, Trent Alexander-Arnold – Federico Valverde, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Arda Güler – Kylian Mbappé, Vinicius Júnior, Brahim Díaz.
Team News: Injury List
Forward Endrick Felipe, defender Ferland Mendy, and midfielders Eduardo Camavinga and Jude Bellingham are all sidelined due to injuries.
Match Prediction: Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid
Analyzing the Favorites
The favorite in this upcoming encounter is clear; the class difference between the two opponents is significant. However, I do not expect Real Madrid to secure a dominant, high-scoring victory at the Estadio Carlos Tartiere. Even last season, Real Madrid often struggled with converting scoring opportunities, and many of their wins in the latter half of the tournament were hard-fought and by minimal margins.
Betting Insights and Historical Trends
For instance, in their last 18 La Liga matches, Real Madrid has not recorded a single large-margin victory, winning by two goals only three times. Furthermore, when playing away, Real Madrid has achieved a two-goal handicap win only once in their last 8 La Liga outings. Real Oviedo, on the other hand, boasts solid home performance: in their last 15 Segunda matches, they suffered only 2 defeats, both by a single goal margin.
Final Prediction
I anticipate that the home side will manage to cover the positive handicap on this occasion. My prediction is “Real Oviedo with a +1.5 handicap” with odds of 1.86.
* The probable starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.