Real Madrid — Mallorca : Match Preview and Prediction for August 07,2025

Match Forecast and Betting Strategies: Real Madrid vs Mallorca

According to bookmakers, Real Madrid is the clear favorite for their upcoming match against Mallorca. Odds for a Real Madrid victory (W1) range from 1.18–1.22, a draw (X) from 6.31–6.50, and a Mallorca win (W2) from 12.61–13.00. Considering both teams’ current form and their head-to-head history, the most compelling wager appears to be Real Madrid with a (-1.5) handicap at odds around 1.66. This choice is justified not only by the clear superiority of ‘Los Blancos’ in squad depth and game quality but also by Mallorca’s consistent struggles on the road.

Current Standings and Season Start

Real Madrid has commenced the season with strong performances under Xabi Alonso, securing two victories in their opening two fixtures: a 1-0 win against Osasuna and a dominant 3-0 triumph over Oviedo. The team has showcased a well-balanced style of play, particularly excelling in defense, conceding just three shots on target across two matches, with only one posing a significant threat. Kylian Mbappé has been a standout in attack, netting three goals in these two games, demonstrating his exceptional form and rapid adaptation to Spanish football. Mallorca, in contrast, has had a less convincing start to their campaign, recording a 1-1 draw against Celta and suffering a heavy 0-3 defeat to Barcelona. In these encounters, the team committed several defensive errors and failed to exhibit attacking prowess, managing only 16 shots and accumulating an xG of 1.19 over two home matches. Historically, Mallorca struggles on the road; last season, they lost 10 of their 19 away games, scoring a meager 15 goals.

Head-to-Head History

Real Madrid’s home record against Mallorca is exceptionally strong; the Madrid giants have won all 10 of their last encounters at the Santiago Bernabéu since the 2009/10 season. Overall, in their last 25 direct meetings, Real has claimed 17 victories, Mallorca 5, with 3 matches ending in a draw. The average total goals in these fixtures exceeds 3, highlighting the hosts’ attacking potency.

Team News and Injuries

Real Madrid will be without Jude Bellingham, Endrick, Ferland Mendy, and Eduardo Camavinga for this fixture. Despite these absences, the squad’s depth allows Xabi Alonso to implement tactical variations without compromising game quality, especially in home matches. Mallorca, on the other hand, faces injury concerns with Pablo Maffeo and Samu Costa sidelined, which weakens their defensive line and central midfield.

Tactical Analysis

Under Xabi Alonso, Real Madrid emphasizes a structured defense combined with rapid transitions into attack. Even without possession, all lines, including their star forwards, actively contribute to pressing. While their positional attacking play isn’t yet flawless, the individual brilliance of their players often proves sufficient to break down even well-organized opposition defenses. Mallorca, conversely, struggles with overall game organization, plagued by frequent defensive errors, low conversion rates for chances, and poor performance from set pieces.

Betting Odds and Recommended Wagers

• Real Madrid Win (W1): 1.18–1.22
• Draw (X): 6.31–6.50
• Mallorca Win (W2): 12.61–13.00
• Handicap (-1.5) on Real Madrid: 1.66
• Both Teams to Score – No: 1.62

Considering the statistics and current form, a bet on Real Madrid with a (-1.5) handicap is highly justified. The team performs confidently at home, while Mallorca scores infrequently away and often loses by two goals or more. An additional viable option could be ‘Both Teams to Score – No,’ given the reliability of Madrid’s defense and the visitors’ struggles in attack.

Conclusion

Real Madrid approaches this match in peak form, boasting high motivation and an exceptional home record against Mallorca. The visitors, conversely, are grappling with personnel and performance issues, particularly when playing away from home. The bookmakers’ odds accurately reflect the true balance of power, and a wager on Real Madrid with a (-1.5) handicap or ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ presents a strong likelihood of success at a favorable coefficient.