Quilmes — San Miguel : Match Preview and Prediction for August 23,2025

Current Turmoil at Quilmes

Quilmes is currently engulfed in a complete storm. The club is experiencing a profound crisis, both on the field and within its management. The results are simply dismal: only two victories in their last 17 matches, and four defeats in the last five rounds. Following a 0-1 loss to Los Andes, frustrated fans attacked the team bus and left threats on players’ cars.

Institutional Overhaul and Coaching Change

This entire situation is further exacerbated by institutional turmoil. This upcoming fixture will mark the final game for the interim coaching duo, Néstor Frediani and Ricardo Vendakis. Immediately after the match, the new president, Carlos Giulianetti, and his team will assume control. A complete club reboot is inevitable, making this game a pivotal moment for Quilmes.

Home Advantage and Tactical Shift

However, one crucial factor cannot be overlooked: their performances on home turf. At “Estadio Centenario,” Quilmes transforms into a completely different side. Their home game record is noteworthy: in 12 matches, they have secured 6 wins, 4 draws, and suffered only 2 defeats. These are robust figures for a team that otherwise struggles significantly away from home. The coaching staff, acutely aware of the moment’s gravity, is implementing radical changes. Five alterations to the starting lineup have been announced compared to their last outing. Key players are returning to the squad: goalkeeper Esteban Glellel, defender Maximiliano Padilla, midfielder Enzo Kalinski, and forward Juan Cruz Caprof. This is a clear reinforcement aimed at solidifying their play and securing vital points at home. Despite these efforts, Quilmes’ attack has looked weak in recent matches, failing to score in the previous two rounds and managing only four shots on target in the game against Los Andes.

San Miguel’s Strong Form and League Position

San Miguel stands as a stark contrast to their opponent. The team is currently among the top three leaders in Zone A, positioned just four points adrift of the first spot, and is actively contending for the highest honors. They approach this match following a narrow 1-0 victory over Racing Cordoba and have suffered only one defeat in their last 10 league rounds. On paper, they appear to be the clear favorite.

Away Performance Struggles

However, a deeper dive into their statistics reveals a more nuanced picture. San Miguel’s formidable strength is predominantly concentrated in their home matches. When playing away, Gustavo Coleoni’s team appears markedly unconvincing. Their away statistics are quite telling: in 13 matches, they have secured merely 2 wins against 6 defeats. They’ve found the net 9 times while conceding 15 goals. These figures are more characteristic of a mid-table squad, rather than a genuine title contender.

Defensive Focus on the Road

Their recent away performances further reinforce this trend. They’ve recorded a 1-1 draw with Atlanta and a goalless stalemate with Alvarado (0-0). The team clearly prioritizes defensive solidity and caution when operating away from their home stadium. Their average goals scored per game stands at a modest 1.04, which hardly suggests a potent attack capable of overwhelming any opponent, particularly on the road.