Real Sociedad
05.10.2025 19:30 (GMT+2)
Rayo Vallecano
[1] - 2.11
Х - 3.54
[2] - 3.70
1$
2.11
1$
3.70

Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano : Match Preview and Prediction for October 05,2025

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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: Match Preview

Match Overview

The Matchday 8 fixture between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano will take place on October 5 at the Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastián. Here’s a comprehensive preview including predictions, odds, and statistics for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano.

Real Sociedad Team Analysis

Real Sociedad’s Current Form

The early part of the season has been a challenging period for Real Sociedad. In the penultimate round, Real Sociedad finally secured their first victory in the current Primera División campaign by defeating Mallorca. However, the team then lost to Barcelona, marking their fourth defeat in five recent league matches under Sergio Francisco. This setback saw the Basques drop back into the relegation zone. Overall, the club has failed to win in 13 of their last 15 encounters (4 draws, 9 losses).

Real Sociedad Key Statistics

  • Both teams scored in 5 of Real Sociedad’s last 7 league matches.
  • The Basques covered a +1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 games.
  • The club has not scored more than 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 Primera División matches.

Real Sociedad Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)*

Alejandro Remiro – Álvaro Odriozola, Duje Ćaleta-Car, Igor Zubeldia, Aihen Muñoz – Beñat Turrientes, Jon Gorrotxategi, Pablo Marín Tejada, Gonçalo Guedes, Ander Barrenetxea – Mikel Oyarzabal.

Real Sociedad Team News

Defender Jon Aramburu, midfielder Yangel Herrera, and forward Orri Óskarsson are unavailable due to injuries.

Rayo Vallecano Team Analysis

Rayo Vallecano’s Current Form

Rayo Vallecano is enduring a period no less challenging than Real Sociedad. Although Rayo Vallecano started the current Primera División season with a victory over Girona, the club has since failed to win in 6 consecutive matches (2 draws, 4 losses). Furthermore, the Madrid side has yet to keep a clean sheet in any fixture this season. Last weekend, Iñigo Pérez’s squad lost to Sevilla, causing them to drop to 16th place in the table.

Rayo Vallecano Key Statistics

  • The club scored in 12 of their last 16 away league matches.
  • Rayo Vallecano’s uncompromising away streak in extends to 12 games (5 wins, 7 losses).
  • The team conceded no more than 1 goal in 7 of their last 9 matches.

Rayo Vallecano Predicted Lineup (4-4-2)*

Augusto Batalla – Andrei Rațiu, Florian Lejeune, Pathé Ciss, Pep Chavarría – Álvaro García, Óscar Valentín, Pedro Díaz, Jorge de Frutos – Isi Palazón, Alemán.

Rayo Vallecano Team News

Defenders Luiz Felipe and Abdul Mumin are unavailable due to injuries.

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Match Prediction

High-Scoring Encounter Expected

Both opponents are having a tough start to the season, but it cannot be said that either club looks completely hopeless. On average, both teams score about one goal per game in the league, but they concede even more, giving us reasons to anticipate a high-scoring affair. In 8 out of Real Sociedad’s last 9 Primera División matches, at least 2 goals were scored, and the same scoring threshold was met in 8 out of the Basques’ last 12 home games in .

Rayo Vallecano’s Goal-Filled Matches

Matches involving Rayo Vallecano also frequently feature goals. We’ve seen at least 2 goals in 5 out of their last 7 league matches. Considering their away games, at least 2 goals were scored in 8 out of the Madrid side’s last 10 Primera División fixtures. A similar pattern is evident in head-to-head encounters at Real Sociedad’s home ground: two or more goals were scored in 9 out of the previous 12 games, and in 8 of those 12 matches, both teams scored at least 3 goals.

Final Betting Tip

My prediction is “Total Goals Over 2” at odds of 1.61 Bookmaker Logo

Author and Disclaimer

Author: Nikita Kudryavtsev* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.

Predictions for Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano October 5, 2025

Aleksey Karpuk profile picture
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Aleksey Karpuk
79 / 9 / 76 / ROI -6.3%

Expert Forecast: Aleksey Karpuk

The unexpected slump of Real Sociedad caught the club off guard — the team from San Sebastián should be contending for the top 4, but currently finds itself in the relegation zone. Rayo Vallecano, representing in the Conference League, is not much higher than the Basques, sitting in 16th place.

Last weekend, Real Sociedad lost to Barcelona (1:2) — this defeat marked their fourth in the last five rounds. It seemed that a quality victory over Mallorca (1:0) would boost the Basques’ confidence, but against the reigning champion, their finishing let them down — Kubo hit the crossbar in a prime scoring opportunity late in the game. Oyarzabal and his teammates underperformed their expected goals by almost four precise shots in — seven goals from 10.94 xG.

Rayo’s finishing is even worse: Vallecano was expected to score 11.42 goals, but they have only seven accurate shots in seven played rounds. On Thursday, the team from the outskirts of Madrid ended a poor run with a 2:0 victory over Shkendija in the Conference League — prior to this match, they hadn’t won since late August when the red-and-whites defeated Neman 4:0 in the European qualification round.

The obvious struggles of Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano will manifest early in the match. In San Sebastián, two crisis-ridden teams will shy away from any risks. At this stage of the season, their only concern is their league position.

Prediction
Total Goals Under 2.5
Odds
Coefficient
1.73
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History of confrontations

Last matches Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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