Girona
04.10.2025 17:15 (GMT+2)
Valencia
[1] - 2.48
Х - 3.45
[2] - 2.95
1$
2.48
1$
2.95

Girona — Valencia : Match Preview and Prediction for October 04,2025

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Girona vs Valencia: Match Preview and Betting Insights

Match Preview

The 8th round fixture between Girona and Valencia is scheduled for October 4th at the Estadi Montilivi. This comprehensive preview offers a prediction and betting tips, including odds and key statistics for the Girona vs Valencia encounter.

Girona Team Analysis

Current Form

The Catalan side recently drew 0-0 with Espanyol, extending their winless streak in to nine matches (3 draws, 6 losses). This marks the longest active winless run in the Spanish championship. Unsurprisingly, Girona currently sits at the bottom of the Primera Division table, also holding the worst goal difference with 3 goals scored and 16 conceded. Alongside Celta, Girona is one of only two teams in the current season yet to secure a victory. 

Key Statistics for Girona

  • The club has failed to score more than one goal in their last 8 fixtures.
  • Girona’s winless run at home in the league spans 6 matches (1 draw, 5 losses), with them failing to score in 5 of these games.
  • Fewer than 3 goals were scored in 4 out of Girona’s last 5 encounters.

Girona’s Predicted Lineup (3-5-2)*

Paulo Gazzaniga – Daley Blind, Vitor Reis, Alejandro Francés – Álex Moreno, Azzedine Ounahi, Axel Witsel, Iván Martín, Hugo Rincón – Vladyslav Vanat, Portu.

Valencia Team Analysis

Current Form and Standings

Following two undefeated matches in the Spanish championship (1 win, 1 draw), Valencia suffered a 1-2 defeat against Oviedo in their most recent fixture. Despite the loss, the Valencian side has now scored in three consecutive matches. This defeat saw the club drop to 12th place in the Primera Division standings, though they maintain a three-point lead over the relegation zone. It’s also worth noting that Valencia has not secured an away win in the current championship campaign (1 draw, 2 losses), with their goal record in these matches standing at 2 scored and 9 conceded. 

Key Statistics for Valencia

  • The club has failed to win in 8 of their last 10 matches (3 draws, 5 losses).
  • Valencia has not kept a clean sheet in their last 17 away matches in the Spanish championship.
  • Goals were scored in both halves in 6 of Valencia’s last 8 away games in this tournament.

Valencia’s Predicted Lineup (4-4-2)*

Julen Agirrezabala – José Luis Gayà, César Tárrega, Mouctar Diakhaby, Dimitri Foulquier – Arnaut Danjuma, Javi Guerra, Baptiste Santamaria, Luis Rioja – Hugo Duro, André Almeida.

Girona vs Valencia Match Prediction

Girona’s Struggle Continues

The Catalans’ unfortunate league run persists, now approaching ten matches without a win. Even on their home turf, Girona has failed to secure a victory in their last six outings. Furthermore, the club has only managed one win in their last twelve home fixtures, suffering eight defeats. Contrast this with their stellar performance in the successful 2023/24 season, where they won 15 out of 19 home matches. Such results are now a distant dream for the Catalan team. Girona currently ranks as the worst team in the league across various metrics, including home performance. 

Valencia’s Resilience Expected

Valencia unexpectedly dropped points in their last home game against Oviedo, despite leading for almost the entire match before conceding two late goals in the 85th and 86th minutes. It’s unlikely that the team will lose concentration for a second consecutive fixture. Especially considering Valencia’s upcoming opponent is currently the weakest team in the tournament. Even at home, the Catalans rarely manage to secure points, having lost five of their last six matches, and failing to score a single goal in five of those encounters. 

Our Betting Tip

Conversely, Valencia has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 11 away matches in (2 wins, 6 draws). They also remained unbeaten against Girona in the previous season (2-0, 1-1). I anticipate that Valencia will manage to earn points again in this match. My prediction is “Valencia to win or draw” with odds of 1.55 Pari logo .  

Note on Lineups

* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.

Match Predictions: Girona vs Valencia, October 4, 2025

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Andrei Ilyinov
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Girona’s Defensive Woes

Girona is currently enduring a seven-match winless streak, and their defense is a significant concern. They now face Valencia, a team looking to bounce back after a defeat to Real Oviedo, against what is arguably the main outsider in .

Girona’s Crisis and Offensive Struggles

The team is in deep crisis, with only three points and 16 goals conceded – the worst defensive record in the league. In their 0-0 draw with Espanyol, the Catalans maintained 60% possession and managed 12 shots (3 on target), but failed to convert chances despite an xG of 1.08, while their opponent created more opportunities with 20 shots and 5 on target. Their average match total stands at 2.5 goals (7 scored, 13 conceded). Míchel’s attack is the weakest in the league with just three goals. New signing Vanat scored in his debut against Celta, but has only managed one shot on target in the three subsequent games.

Valencia’s Mixed Form and Attacking Strengths

Valencia has struggled to find consistency: after a 2-0 victory over Athletic and a draw with Espanyol, they lost 1-2 to Real Oviedo. Everything seemed to be going well for Ruben Baraja’s side, with Danjuma scoring in the fourth minute, 16 shots (five on target), and an xG of 1.51. However, a defensive collapse in the 85th and 86th minutes led to two conceded goals. Defense is not the ‘Bats” strongest suit, having conceded 12 goals, including six against Barcelona. Nevertheless, Valencia’s attack is capable of creating chances, having scored nine times in seven rounds. Key contributions come from their consistent leader Hugo Duro and new signing Arnaut Danjuma from Villarreal, both of whom have already scored three goals this season.

Expert Prediction Conclusion

Valencia is expected to rectify their disappointing finish against Real Oviedo and upset Girona, whose defense remains the weakest in the league. While the ‘Bats’ might concede, it’s unlikely to be enough for the hosts to secure a victory.

Prediction
Valencia to win or draw and Total Goals Over 1.5 – Yes
Odds
Coefficient
1.95
Place Bet
 

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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