Match Introduction
The 9th round fixture between Alaves and Valencia is scheduled for October 20 at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. This article presents a detailed prediction, including an analysis of team form, potential lineups, and key statistics for the Alaves – Valencia encounter.
Alaves: Team Overview
Towards the end of September, Alaves experienced a three-match winless streak in the league (1 draw, 2 losses). However, in the previous round, the team successfully broke this difficult run with a crucial victory over Elche. This win was particularly noteworthy as the Basques inflicted Elche’s first defeat of the season. Despite failing to keep a clean sheet for the fourth consecutive match, Alaves climbed to 10th place in the table. It is important to highlight that Eduardo Coudet’s squad is generally considered among the most defensively solid teams in . Alaves has conceded a total of eight goals, which is a leading result shared with three other clubs.
Alaves: Key Statistics
- The Basques have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 17 matches.
- Fewer than 3 goals have been scored in 15 of the club’s previous 18 league games.
- Both teams have scored in Alaves’ last 5 home matches in .
Alaves: Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)*
Antonio Sivera – Yousef Enríquez, Jon Pacheco, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jonny – Antonio Blanco, Pablo Ibañez – Abderrahman Rebbach, Lucas Boyé, Calebe – Toni Martínez.
Alaves: Team News and Injuries
Defender Facundo Garcés has received a lengthy disqualification due to document forgery. The participation of forward Mariano Díaz in the upcoming match is uncertain.
Valencia: Team Overview
The club has struggled significantly with consistency, with Valencia losing, on average, every second match in this season. Before the international break, the team suffered a defeat against Girona, who at the time had not registered a single victory in the current league campaign. Carlos Corberan’s men have only managed to secure 3 points in 2 of their last 8 fixtures in this competition. Valencia’s current winless streak in extends to 3 matches (1 draw, 2 losses), which has seen the club drop to 15th position in the league standings. Frequent defensive errors are a key factor in their results: in , the team has conceded a total of 14 goals, with only Girona (17 goals) having a worse defensive record after 8 rounds.
Valencia: Key Statistics
- At least 2 goals have been scored in Valencia’s last 6 league matches.
- The club has conceded in 18 consecutive away matches in .
- The team has not scored more than 1 goal in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Valencia: Predicted Starting XI (4-4-2)*
Julen Agirrezabala – Thierry Correia, César Tárrega, Mouctar Diakhaby, Jesús Vázquez – Diego López, Pepelu, Baptiste Santamaria, Luis Rioja – Lucas Beltrán, Arnaut Danjuma.
Valencia: Team News and Injuries
Due to injuries, defender Mouctar Diakhaby, along with midfielders Filip Ugrinic and Largie Ramazani, are unavailable. The involvement of defender Dimitri Foulquier remains questionable.
Match Prediction: Alaves vs Valencia
Alaves’ Home Strength
Alaves can be characterized as a robust mid-table team that stands out for its tenacity. In their last 11 matches, the team has recorded only 3 defeats, and Eduardo Coudet’s side failed to score in just 2 of those games. Playing in front of their home crowd, the Basques are particularly formidable, as they have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 8 league fixtures (4 wins, 3 draws). The club’s impressive home scoring run in stretches back 6 matches.
Valencia’s Inconsistent Away Form
Valencia, however, has been highly inconsistent. In , the team has managed to secure all three points in only 2 of their last 11 games, with both of these victories occurring in home matches. On away turf, Carlos Corberan’s side has failed to win in 6 consecutive encounters (2 draws, 4 losses), and they have conceded goals in an alarming 18 consecutive away fixtures.
Head-to-Head Record and Final Betting Tip
It is also worth noting that Alaves has remained undefeated in their last 5 head-to-head clashes with Valencia in the league, with 4 of these 5 matches resulting in a victory for Alaves. Our prediction is: “1X + Alaves to score – Yes”.
* The starting lineup indicated for each team is based on their formation and personnel in their previous match in this tournament.
















Mark Thompson