AC Milan — Fiorentina : Match Preview and Prediction for October 19,2025

AC Milan’s Solid Season Start

Massimiliano Allegri’s men are enjoying a solid start to the season, firmly established among the leading pack. After 8 rounds, the Rossoneri have accumulated 17 points and suffered just one defeat. The team demonstrates strong form on home turf, where they have conceded only twice.

Tactical Approach and Key Players

AC Milan maintains its reputation as one of the league’s most tactically disciplined teams. With an average possession of 56%, Allegri’s side prioritizes control and swift transitions into attack, primarily through the flanks where Leão and Chukwueze stand out.

Attacking Efficiency and Injury Impact

The primary challenge lies in their finishing ability. Despite creating a significant volume of chances (xG around 14), the team’s goal tally is lower than expected, with just 11 goals scored. Without the injured Christian Pulisic, their sharpness in the final third is noticeably diminished.

Defensive Structure

Defensively, AC Milan allows few clear-cut opportunities. However, when pressing high, they frequently open up spaces between the lines, which opponents attempt to exploit on counter-attacks.

Fiorentina’s Challenging Form

Stefano Pioli’s side (who returned to the helm this summer) has yet to deliver satisfactory results. After 8 rounds, the Viola have amassed a mere 6 points with just one victory, placing them dangerously close to the relegation zone.

Attacking Struggles and Defensive Vulnerabilities

Fiorentina still aims to dictate play, maintaining around 53% possession, but their attacking efficiency remains minimal, with only 5 goals scored against an xG of 8.5. The team frequently attacks but often loses defensive balance; they have already conceded 13 goals, and defensive errors within the penalty area persist as a systemic issue.

Away Day Troubles and Squad Depth

Fiorentina appears particularly vulnerable away from home, suffering three consecutive defeats, conceding at least twice in each. Amidst injuries to Moise Kean and other key attacking players, the coaching staff is forced to experiment, impacting team cohesion.