Match Overview

The Matchday 6 fixture between Parma and Lecce will take place on October 4th at the Ennio Tardini Stadium. This forecast provides a detailed prediction, betting odds, and statistics for the Parma vs Lecce encounter.

Parma Analysis

In the previous round, Carlos Cuesta’s squad defeated Torino in a home fixture (2:1). This marked Parma’s first victory in the current campaign, following two draws and two losses. Additionally, it was the first time this season that the club managed to score more than one goal in a single match. The team has now accumulated five points, moving up to 14th place in the league standings.

Parma’s Home Form and Statistics

• The club has avoided defeat in 7 of its last 8 home matches in (3 wins, 4 draws).
• The team scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of its last 8 home championship encounters.
• Parma conceded no more than one goal in 7 of its last 9 home fixtures.

Parma’s Probable Lineup (3-5-2)*

Zion Suzuki – Alessandro Circati, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Enrico Del Prato – Sascha Britschgi, Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Gaetano Oristanio, Emanuele Valeri – Mateo Pellegrino, Patrick Cutrone.

Team News: Parma Injuries

Defender Lautaro Valentini, along with forwards Jakob Ondrejka and Matija Frigan, will be unavailable due to injuries.

Lecce Analysis

Eusebio Di Francesco’s side secured a point against Bologna at home in the last round (2:2). This result marked their first unbeaten match in the last four championship fixtures, though they still remain without a win in the current season (2 draws, 3 losses). The club currently sits at the bottom of the league table with just two points. It’s also worth noting that Lecce has conceded ten goals this season, making them one of the two worst teams in this regard, alongside Torino.

Lecce’s Away Form and Statistics

• The club has failed to win in 8 of its last 9 away matches in (4 draws, 4 losses).
• The team scored exactly one goal in 6 of its last 7 previous away championship matches.
• Lecce conceded no more than one goal in 7 of its last 10 previous away fixtures.

Lecce’s Probable Lineup (4-5-1)*

Wladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Thiago Gabriel, Kialonda Gaspar, Krist-Owen Kouassi – Tete Morente, Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha, Ylber Ramadani, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Krstovic.

Referee Profile

Daniele Doveri (Italy)

Referee Statistics

Matches – 20 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 20%.

Match Prediction: Parma vs Lecce

Even on home turf, Parma rarely manages to avoid defensive errors and concedes goals regularly. In their last 26 home matches in , the team has kept a clean sheet in only three encounters, and in 12 of these games, they conceded at least two goals. Furthermore, in the current championship, Parma only managed a clean sheet against league newcomer Cremonese.

Lecce’s Offensive Potential

While Lecce may not be known for high scoring, they consistently find the net in away matches. In their last seven away fixtures, the club failed to score only against Genoa, managing to breach the defenses of opponents like Juventus, Atalanta, and Lazio during this period. It is also worth noting that in the previous championship, Lecce scored three goals in a head-to-head match against Parma at their home ground.

Final Bet Recommendation

I anticipate at least one goal from the visiting team in this match. Therefore, my final prediction is: “Lecce Individual Total Over 0.5” with odds of 1.64

Note on Lineups

* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is indicated.