Fiorentina
05.10.2025 16:00 (GMT+2)
Roma
[1] - 3.00
Х - 3.25
[2] - 2.40
1$
3.00
1$
2.40

Fiorentina — Roma : Match Preview and Prediction for October 05,2025

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Fiorentina vs Roma: Match Preview & Prediction

Match Introduction

The Matchday 6 fixture between Fiorentina and Roma is scheduled for October 5 at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence. This preview offers a prediction, betting insights, and key statistics for the Fiorentina vs Roma encounter.

Fiorentina’s Current Form & Struggles

In their last league outing, Stefano Pioli’s side was held to a goalless draw by Pisa on their home turf. This result extended Fiorentina’s winless streak in the championship to five matches, comprising three draws and two defeats. Notably, all their points in the current season have been earned away from home. The Florentine team sits in 16th place in the league table with three points. It’s also worth highlighting that the club has yet to score more than one goal in any single match this season.

Fiorentina Key Statistics

  • The team has avoided defeat in 6 of their last 8 home matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
  • At least three goals were scored in 5 of the club’s last 7 home league fixtures.
  • Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina’s last 8 matches.

Fiorentina’s Probable Starting Lineup (3-5-2)*

David De Gea – Pablo Mari, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Jacopo Fazzini, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Robin Gosens – Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Fiorentina Team News: Injuries

Defender Tariq Lamptey and forward Christian Kouame are unavailable due to injuries.

Roma’s Impressive Start to the Season

Gian Piero Gasperini’s men secured a 2-0 victory over Verona at home in their previous match. This triumph marked Roma’s fourth win of the current campaign, with all victories coming with a clean sheet. Despite their strong defensive record, this was the first time this season that the Romans managed to score more than once. With 12 points, the club occupies third place in the league table, trailing leaders AC Milan only on goal difference. Notably, Roma has conceded only one goal throughout the current championship, making them the league’s best defensive side.

Roma Key Statistics

  • The team has been undefeated in 12 of their last 13 away matches (9 wins, 3 draws).
  • No more than two goals were scored in 9 of the club’s last 10 away league games.
  • The Romans have kept clean sheets in 8 of their last 10 away fixtures.

Roma’s Probable Starting Lineup (3-4-3)*

Mile Svilar – Evan Ndicka, Gianluca Mancini, Zeki Celik – Devyne Rensch, Kouadio Kone, Nael El Aynaoui, Kostas Tsimikas – Stephan El Shaarawy, Artem Dovbyk, Matias Soule.

Roma Team News: Injuries

Midfielder Leon Bailey and forward Paulo Dybala will miss the match due to injuries.

Match Official

Andrea Colombo (Italy)

Referee Statistics

Matches officiated – 18 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties awarded – 17%.

Fiorentina vs Roma Match Prediction

Fiorentina’s Attacking Woes

Early in the current season, Fiorentina has shown a weak performance, primarily struggling with a lack of scoring. As mentioned, the team has not managed to score more than one goal in any league match so far. Furthermore, even on their home ground, Fiorentina rarely displays a vibrant attacking game: in their last nine home matches, the club’s players scored more than once in only three encounters. During this same period, the Florentines also failed to breach the defenses of Como and Parma.

Roma’s Defensive Prowess

The Romans exhibit confidence when playing away and are particularly strong defensively. Over their last 11 away league fixtures, the team has secured nine victories and conceded a total of just four goals, keeping eight clean sheets during this stretch. Additionally, Roma boasts the best defense in the current campaign, having let in only one goal in five rounds.

Final Betting Tip

I anticipate that the visitors will once again deliver a strong defensive performance, leading to my prediction: Fiorentina Individual Total Under 1 Goal with odds of 1.86.

Prediction Author

Author: Dmitry Shchurko

Note on Lineups

* The starting lineup listed for each team reflects their formation in their last match in this tournament.

Expert Predictions for Fiorentina — Roma, October 5, 2025

Artem Egorov profile picture
р
Artem Egorov
126 / 9 / 125 / ROI -7.6%

Artem Egorov’s Detailed Forecast

Who would have thought that by ‘s sixth round, Roma would be sharing the top spot in the league with AC Milan and Napoli? Such an impressive start from the Giallorossi was unexpected by many, and now they have an opportunity to solidify their position against a struggling Fiorentina side.

In five rounds, the ‘Viola’ have yet to secure a single victory. In their last match, they couldn’t even overcome newcomers Pisa (0-0), once again demonstrating their attacking impotence. It’s clear that Moise Kean is struggling to replicate last season’s scoring form, and Pioli appears to lack a contingency plan.

Roma approaches this match as the league’s best defensive team, having conceded only one goal with an xGA of 4.1. However, Gasperini’s team’s offense leaves much to be desired: only young Matias Soule has scored more than once.

We are set for a clash between two of ‘s least prolific teams. The outcome appears clear: I confidently recommend considering a bet on Total Goals Under.

Prediction
Total Under 2.5 goals
Odds
Coefficient
1.70
 

History of confrontations

Last matches Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina Fiorentina
Roma Roma

Other predictions

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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