Match Preview
The highly anticipated Matchday 6 fixture features Werder Bremen hosting St. Pauli on October 4th at the Weserstadion. This comprehensive preview delves into the match-up, offering a prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for Werder Bremen versus St. Pauli.
Werder Bremen’s Current Form
Under the guidance of Horst Steffen, Werder Bremen suffered a significant 0-4 away defeat to Bayern Munich in their last outing. This marks their second successive loss, both being heavy defeats where they failed to find the net. Furthermore, Werder Bremen currently holds the unwanted record for most goals conceded this season, with 14. Consequently, the team finds itself in 15th place in the league table, having accumulated just four points.
Werder Bremen Home Statistics
- Werder has been resilient at home, remaining unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 fixtures on their own turf (2 wins, 3 draws).
- In 5 of their last 6 home league encounters, at least one side failed to score.
- Werder Bremen has struggled offensively at home, scoring no more than one goal in 8 of their previous 11 home games.
Werder Bremen Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)*
Karl Heijn – Felix Agu, Marco Friedl, Karim Coulibaly, Yukinari Sugawara – Jens Stage, Cameron Puertas, Romano Schmid, Sen Linen, Samuel Mbangula – Justin Njinmah.
Team News: Werder Bremen Injuries
First-choice goalkeeper Mio Backhaus, along with defenders Niklas Stark, Olivier Deman, Maximilian Wöber, and Mitchell Weiser, are sidelined due to injuries.
St. Pauli’s Current Performance
Alexander Blessin’s St. Pauli suffered a 1-2 home defeat against Bayer Leverkusen in their last league game. This loss marks their second consecutive defeat in the , following a streak of three matches where they secured points (2 wins, 1 draw). Consequently, the Hamburg-based club has fallen to ninth position in the league table, holding seven points.
St. Pauli Away Statistics
- St. Pauli has found wins hard to come by on the road, failing to secure a victory in 7 of their last 9 away fixtures (3 draws, 4 losses).
- Interestingly, precisely 2 or 3 goals were scored in 7 of St. Pauli’s previous 10 away league encounters.
- St. Pauli’s defense has been vulnerable on the road, conceding in 7 of their last 9 away games.
St. Pauli Predicted Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Hauke Wahl, Manolis Saliakas, Lars Ritzka – Eric Smith, James Sands, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Luis Oppie – Andrea Untondji, Matias Pereira Lage.
Match Official Profile
Sören Storcks (Germany)
Matches officiated – 14 (, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (incl. second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 3;
Fouls per match on average – 21;
Penalties awarded – 21%.
Match Prediction Analysis
Werder Bremen is currently facing significant defensive challenges early in this season. The team has been prone to making numerous errors at the back, having already conceded 14 goals. This vulnerability is largely exacerbated by a high number of absences in their defensive ranks. Even at home, their defense has been porous, allowing six goals in just two home matches this season – three against Bayer Leverkusen and three against Freiburg.
St. Pauli’s Offensive Prowess
St. Pauli consistently strives to generate numerous attacking opportunities, even when playing away from home, enabling them to score regularly. In their last seven away fixtures, the Hamburg outfit was only kept off the scoreboard twice, while in four of those matches, they managed to score at least two goals against their adversaries. Therefore, I anticipate an impactful offensive display from Alexander Blessin’s squad. My pick for this match is: St. Pauli Individual Total Goals Over 1 with odds of 1.62.
Mark Thompson
