Match Overview

The Matchday 5 fixture between Union Berlin and Hamburger SV is scheduled for September 28 at the An der Alten Försterei stadium in Berlin. This preview offers a comprehensive look at the Union vs Hamburg encounter, including a detailed prediction, betting odds, and vital statistics.

Union Berlin Team Analysis

In the previous round, Steffen Baumgart’s side secured an away victory against Eintracht Frankfurt with a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. This marked Union’s second win of the current campaign. However, the team has conceded at least three goals in their last three consecutive matches. Furthermore, the club has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last nine league outings. The Berliners have accumulated six points, placing them tenth in the league table. Notably, Union currently possesses the weakest defense in the this season, having conceded 11 goals.

Union Berlin Key Statistics

• The team has failed to win in 8 of their last 10 home league matches (4 draws, 4 losses).
• The club has scored at least twice in 4 of their last 5 home fixtures.
• A minimum of three goals have been scored in the Berliners’ last five home league games.

Union Berlin Predicted Lineup (3-5-2)*

Frederik Rönnow – Danilo Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite – Christopher Trimmel, Oliver Burke, Rani Khedira, Janik Haberer, Leopold Querfeld – Ilias Ansah, Andrija Ilic.

Hamburger SV Team Analysis

Merlin Polzin’s squad secured a 2-1 home victory over Heidenheim in the previous matchday. This win marked Hamburg’s first triumph and their initial goals in the current season. With four points, the club has climbed to 15th place in the standings. It is worth noting that Hamburger SV is currently the only team in the league that has not yet scored an away goal.

Hamburger SV Key Statistics

• • The club has failed to win in 17 of their last 18 away matches (4 draws, 13 losses).
  • The team has conceded a maximum of two goals in 8 of their last 11 away games in the German top flight.
  • No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Hamburg’s last 11 away encounters.

Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)*

Daniel Fernandes – Warmed Omari, Miro Muheim, Luka Vuskovic – Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Daniel Elfadli, Nicolai Remberg, Jean-Luc Dompé – Fábio Vieira, Ransford Königsdörffer, Ransford Philipp.

Referee Profile

Deniz Aytekin (Germany)

Matches officiated – 6 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 17;

Penalties awarded – 33%.

Match Prediction: Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV

Offensive Power of Union Berlin

The Berliners demonstrated significant attacking prowess in their last match, netting four goals against Eintracht in an away fixture. Their scoring record at home is also impressive. In their last seven home games, Union players have only failed to score once, and in four of those matches, they found the back of the net at least twice.

Hamburger SV’s Defensive Struggles on the Road

Hamburger SV frequently struggles in their away matches, primarily due to numerous defensive errors. The Hamburg side has kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 away games, with that sole shutout coming against Borussia Mönchengladbach, currently the least prolific team in the league. Furthermore, in their last seven away fixtures alone, Hamburg has conceded a staggering 18 goals.

Final Betting Tip

I believe the home team will manage to score at least twice in this match. My prediction is: Union Berlin Total Goals Over 1.5 with odds of 1.95.

Author’s Note and Disclaimer

Author: Dmitry Shchurko

* The starting lineup listed for each team corresponds to their last match in this tournament.