Match Overview

The 5th round match between Freiburg and Hoffenheim is scheduled for September 28 at the Europa-Park Stadion. This prediction offers an in-depth analysis of the fixture, including team form, statistics, and potential betting opportunities.

Freiburg’s Current Form

Julian Schuster’s squad secured a confident 3-0 away victory against Werder Bremen in the previous round. This marked Freiburg’s second consecutive win in the league, with the team scoring three goals in both matches. Furthermore, they extended their goal-scoring streak in the to 13 games. The club currently sits in seventh place in the league table with six points.

Freiburg Home Statistics

• The team has failed to win 6 of their last 8 home matches in the (2 draws, 4 losses).
• At least four goals have been scored in six previous home league encounters involving the club.
• Both teams have scored in Freiburg’s last seven home fixtures.

Freiburg’s Probable Lineup (4-5-1)*

Noah Atubolu – Jordy Makengo, Philipp Lienhart, Matthias Ginter, Lukas Kübler – Vincenzo Grifo, Chukwubuike Adamu, Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Jan-Niklas Beste – Lucas Höler.

Midfielder Johan Manzambi is suspended.

Hoffenheim’s Current Form

Christian Ilzer’s side couldn’t withstand Bayern Munich on their home turf in the last round, suffering a 1-4 defeat. Consequently, Hoffenheim has managed only two victories in their last nine matches (2 draws, 5 losses). Notably, the team conceded at least three goals in five of these encounters. With six points, the club occupies ninth position in the league table.

Hoffenheim Away Statistics

• The team has failed to win 5 of their last 7 away matches in the (2 draws, 3 losses).
• At least four goals have been scored in 5 of the club’s previous 6 away league games.
• Both teams have scored in Hoffenheim’s last six away matches.

Hoffenheim’s Probable Lineup (4-4-2)*

Oliver Baumann – Bernardo, Albin Hajdari, Robin Granach, Vladimir Coufal – Bazoumana Toure, Wouter Burger, Leon Abdullahu, Alexander Prass – Bazoumana Toure, Fisnik Aslani.

Defender Koki Machida and forward Adam Hlozek are injured.

The Referee: Bastian Dankert

Bastian Dankert (Germany)

Matches officiated – 16 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 19%.

Match Prediction: Freiburg – Hoffenheim

This match brings together two teams known for their effective attacking play, yet lacking a strong defensive line. Freiburg has failed to score in only one of their last 14 home matches (against Leipzig), finding the net at least twice in seven of those fixtures. Simultaneously, the team has not kept a clean sheet in their last seven home league games, conceding a total of 17 goals during this period.

Hoffenheim also demonstrates efficient and regular scoring on the road: in their last six away clashes, the club has never failed to score, and on six occasions during this run, they have scored at least twice. However, they are prone to many costly defensive errors in their own penalty area, having conceded a combined 16 goals in their last seven away league matches.

Considering the attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides, I anticipate a high-scoring encounter. Therefore, my prediction is: “Total Goals Over 2.5” with odds of 1.60.

Author Information

Author: Dmitry Shchurko

* The starting lineup listed for each team represents their formation in their previous match in this tournament.