VfB Stuttgart
26.10.2025 19:30 (GMT+2)
Mainz 05
[1] - 1.82
Х - 4.1
[2] - 4.1
1$
1.82
1$
4.1

Stuttgart — Mainz 05 : Match Preview and Prediction for October 26,2025

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Team logo of Stuttgart

Stuttgart

Flag of Germany
Sebastian Hoeneß
Coach since Apr 03, 2023

Stuttgart’s Commanding League Performance

VfB Stuttgart is currently in magnificent form, confidently holding a Champions League qualification spot. They sit fourth in the Bundesliga table with 15 points after just seven rounds. This strong position is not a fluke but a clear testament to their high-quality performance on the field. In the domestic championship, the “Swabians” have put together an impressive run of four consecutive victories, highlighting their current momentum.

Impeccable Home Record and Recent Dominance

Their most recent league outing against Wolfsburg was truly exemplary. Stuttgart secured a dominant 3-0 away victory, controlling the game entirely, creating 4 significant scoring chances, and registering 7 shots on target. At home, their record is flawless this season, having won every single match at the MHP Arena. Historically, Stuttgart also holds an advantage over Mainz, remaining undefeated against them on their home ground in five consecutive meetings.

Europa League Setback: A Closer Look at the Stats

While a 0-1 defeat in the Europa League against Fenerbahçe might seem concerning, a deeper look at the statistics reveals a different story. Stuttgart commanded 65% possession, completed 485 passes compared to their opponent’s 262, and won a greater number of duels. Such a narrow loss, especially one conceded from a penalty, in a match where they showed such dominance, appears to be an unfortunate mishap that does not detract from the excellent overall form of Sebastian Hoeneß’s squad.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
2
RB Leipzig
8
6
1
1
16-9
19
3
Borussia Dortmund
8
5
2
1
14-6
17
4
Stuttgart
7
5
0
2
11-6
15
5
Bayer 04
7
4
2
1
16-11
14
6
Eintracht Frankfurt
8
4
1
3
21-18
13
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Show All Standings

Injuries and Suspensions: Stuttgart

  • Injury Ermedin Demirović Starter FW Player status icon: Starter
    10 matches played
    5 goals scored
    October 5 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Injury Justin Diehl Rotation Player FW Player status icon: Rotation Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 18 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Injury Stefan Drljaca Reserve Player GK Player status icon: Reserve Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 5 out since
    5 matches missed
  • Injury Dan-Axel Zagadou Reserve Player DF Player status icon: Reserve Player
    1 match played
    0 goals scored
    October 23 out since
    1 match missed

Players Questionable to Play

  • Injury Silas Rotation Player FW Player status icon: Rotation Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 9 out since
    2 matches missed

Players Returned to Squad

  • Injury Pascal Stenzel Rotation Player DF Player status icon: Rotation Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 9 out since
    2 matches missed
  • Injury Yannick Keitel Rotation Player MF Player status icon: Rotation Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 25 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Leonidas Stergiou Rotation Player DF Player status icon: Rotation Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 25 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Noah Darvich Reserve Player MF Player status icon: Reserve Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 25 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Amin Al Dakhil Reserve Player DF Player status icon: Reserve Player
    2 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 18 out since
    1 match missed

Team logo of Mainz 05

Mainz 05

Flag of Denmark
Bo Henriksen
Coach since Feb 13, 2024

Mainz 05’s Concerning League Position

In stark contrast, matters are significantly different for Mainz 05. The team is struggling in 16th place, occupying a relegation playoff spot, having accumulated a meager 4 points. In their last five Bundesliga matches, they’ve suffered four defeats. Their defense is clearly a major vulnerability, as statistics confirm: Mainz has not managed to keep a clean sheet in 18 consecutive matches, a dubious club record.

Defensive Frailty and Attacking Weakness

The results of their recent fixtures are telling. A 3-4 loss to Bayer, a crushing 0-4 defeat against Hamburg, and a 0-2 reverse from Dortmund. The team concedes a high volume of goals, 14 in just 7 matches, and appears especially susceptible in the first halves, having allowed 9 of those goals before the break. Their offensive output is equally uninspiring; Mainz has managed only 21 shots on target throughout the entire season, which is the worst record in the league.

Europa Conference League Win: A Potentially Misleading Result

Their 1-0 victory in the Europa Conference League against Zrinjski Mostar should not be taken as a sign of a turnaround. Mainz played at home against the Bosnian champions and benefited from a numerical advantage for more than half the game after their opponent received a red card. Despite these favorable conditions, Bo Henriksen’s side only managed to score once and created few clear-cut opportunities, showcasing a performance that was far from convincing.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
14
St. Pauli
8
2
1
5
8-14
7
15
Augsburg
8
2
1
5
12-20
7
16
Mainz 05
7
1
1
5
8-14
4
17
Heidenheim
8
1
1
6
7-16
4
18
Borussia Monchengladbach
8
0
3
5
6-18
3
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
Show All Standings

Injuries and Suspensions: Mainz 05

  • Injury Anthony Caci Starter DF Player status icon: Starter
    6 matches played
    0 goals scored
    September 20 out since
    5 matches missed
  • Injury Maxime Dal Reserve Player DF Player status icon: Reserve Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    February 8 out since
    30 matches missed

Players Returned to Squad

  • Injury Casey Bos Reserve Player FW Player status icon: Reserve Player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 9 out since
    12 matches missed

Stuttgart’s Strengths in Summary

The situation here is quite clear if we set aside sentimentality and focus solely on the hard facts. On one side, Stuttgart is a top-four team that has gained significant momentum in the championship and is particularly strong on its home turf. They boast one of the league’s best defenses and a very well-orchestrated game with a high percentage of ball possession.

Mainz’s Vulnerabilities and Final Prediction

On the other hand, Mainz is an underdog currently in crisis, consistently conceding goals and displaying disheartening attacking statistics. Add to this their poor performance away from home and a five-match winless streak against Stuttgart at their stadium. All signs point to a convincing victory for Stuttgart. I believe they will not only win but also manage to score at least two goals. My prediction is a Stuttgart victory with over 1.5 goals scored. 

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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