PSG
27.09.2025 22:05 (GMT+2)
Auxerre
[1] - 1.18
Х - 9.30
[2] - 16.26
1$
1.18
1$
16.26

PSG — Auxerre : Match Preview and Prediction for September 27,2025

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PSG vs Auxerre: Match Prediction

Match Overview

The Matchday 6 fixture between PSG and Auxerre is scheduled for September 27th at Parc des Princes stadium in Paris. Here’s a detailed match prediction including odds and statistics for PSG vs Auxerre.

PSG Team Analysis

The Parisians began their campaign with four consecutive victories and remained the only team without dropped points until last Monday. However, in the previous round, the club suffered a defeat in a crucial away match against Marseille. This loss ended PSG’s 6-match winning streak in the league, and furthermore, Luis Enrique’s side failed to score for the first time in 25 games. Most significantly, the Parisians lost their top spot in the table, falling behind Monaco.

PSG Key Statistics

  • The team has scored in their last 35 home matches in the French championship.
  • PSG’s uncompromising run in this tournament extends to 9 games (6 wins, 3 losses).
  • The Parisians have scored no more than 2 goals in 9 of their last 12 matches.

PSG Predicted Lineup (3-5-2)*

Lucas Chevalier – Ilya Zabarnyi, Marquinhos, William Pacho – Achraf Hakimi, Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery, Nuno Mendes – Gonçalo Ramos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

PSG Team News

Key defender Marquinhos, midfielder João Neves, and forwards Bradley Barcola, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé, who recently won the Ballon d’Or this week, are unavailable due to injuries.

Auxerre Team Analysis

After a victory in the first round of the championship, the team experienced a series of setbacks, but last week the club secured an important 3 points in a home game against Toulouse. This win ended a frustrating run of 3 consecutive defeats, and additionally, Auxerre improved their league position, climbing to 10th place in the table. It is worth noting that Christophe Pélissier’s side has yet to pick up points away from home in the current season.

Auxerre Key Statistics

  • Auxerre has not won in 6 of their last 8 matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
  • At least 2 goals have been scored in 17 of the club’s last 19 away games in the championship.
  • The team’s uncompromising streak in this tournament stands at 6 matches (2 wins, 4 losses).

Auxerre Predicted Lineup (5-4-1)*

Donovan Léon – Fredrik Oppegard, Gideon Mensah, Telly Sive, Francisco Sierralta, Marvin Senaya – Elisha Owusu, Kévin Danois, Danny Loader, Lassine Sinayoko – Sekou Mara.

Auxerre Team News

Midfielder Josué Casimir’s suspension has ended, but now defender Fredrik Oppegard is serving a ban. Another defender, Marvin Senaya, is doubtful due to an injury. Midfielder Oussama El Azzouzi and defender Sinaly Diomande are also injured.

Referee Review

Thomas Léonard (France)

Matches officiated – 22 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 81;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties awarded – 23%.

PSG vs Auxerre Match Prediction

PSG is typically considered the clear favorite, as in almost any other match in the French championship. However, it’s worth noting that the team is far from perfect defensively. Luis Enrique’s side has conceded in 13 of their last 17 matches. At home, the situation is similar – in their last 13 home league games, the Parisians have kept a clean sheet only 3 times.

Auxerre’s Scoring Potential

Meanwhile, PSG will host Auxerre, a team that collects points with mixed success but rarely fails to score even in defeats. The club has found the net in 14 of their last 15 matches. If we consider strictly away fixtures, it’s notable that only in their last outing did their 9-match scoring streak in the French championship come to an end.

Betting Tip

Most likely, regardless of the match outcome, Auxerre will manage to score at least 1 goal against PSG. Our prediction is “Auxerre Individual Total Over 0.5” with odds of 1.85.Author: Nikita Kudryavtsev* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.

Match Predictions for PSG vs Auxerre on September 27, 2025

Sergey Zimarin Profile Picture
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Sergey Zimarin
133 / 14/ 114 / ROI -3.4%

Ousmane Dembélé will surely appear at Parc des Princes not in a PSG kit, but in a stylish suit, delighting the crowd with his newly acquired Ballon d’Or. The Frenchman is still injured. A dozen minutes after the ceremony, his teammates will begin to test Auxerre.

Paris Saint-Germain has created relatively few potential chances (7.96 xG, ranking ninth) but is confidently in third place for goals scored (10). The biggest contribution to this difference came from their away match against Toulouse (6:3): six goals from only 2.62 xG. When the opponent has a much more reliable goalkeeper, like Gerónimo Rulli for Marseille, the result is a defeat (0:1) – their first of the current season. This also coincided with poor quality chances (0.67 xG). Another away match also resulted in an Under for the Parisians – 1:0 against Nantes.

Auxerre themselves played a low-scoring game in the fifth round and won, despite their opponent’s efforts: 2.33 xG for Toulouse, but a 1:0 victory. Their last away game was against the equally low-scoring Nantes (0:1). Generally, the Burgundians are tight on goals away from home: half of their previous eight away matches saw Under 2.5 goals. But PSG is a special case. Their last encounter at Parc des Princes ended in a 3:1 victory for the Parisians. However, none of Auxerre’s last eight matches had four goals.

I’m betting on Under 4.5 goals, as well as a victory for Paris Saint-Germain, who are eager to wash away the disgrace of their “Le Classique” defeat.

Prediction
PSG Win + Total Under 4.5 – Yes
Odds
Coefficient
1.80
 

History of confrontations

Last matches PSG vs Auxerre

PSG
Auxerre Auxerre

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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