Match Overview

In the previous round, both newcomers performed admirably, snatching valuable points from Champions League contenders Nice and Monaco. Now, Paris FC will look to leverage their home advantage to defeat Lorient.

Paris FC’s Recent Form

In the sixth round, Paris FC faced Nice. The hosts did not surprise the capital team, and once again, as in the four rounds prior, only managed to score one goal. And even that came in the 88th minute, just as Paris FC was quietly preparing to celebrate their success. Over six rounds, Stéphane Gilli’s team has played only two matches at their home stadium, “Stade Jean-Bouin.” Both were high-scoring, ending 3:2. This resulted in a win against a weaker Metz side, but a loss against a strong Strasbourg.

Lorient’s Surprise Victory

Lorient, on the other hand, unexpectedly thrashed Monaco (3:1). It wasn’t just because they were playing at home; at “Stade du Moustoir,” they can just as easily suffer a heavy defeat, like the 1:7 loss against Lille. Both of their home victories have been tied to opponent red cards. This was the case against Rennes (4:0), when the opponent lost two players very early on, and it happened again in their last match. As soon as Thilo Kehrer was sent off in the 38th minute with the score at 0:0, Lorient began to score, already in the 40th.

Betting Analysis and Prediction

Therefore, “The Merluzes” (Lorient’s nickname) have not yet won when playing with equal numbers. Betting on Paris FC also carries a certain risk – they are evenly matched. Hence, I’m opting for Total Over 2.5. This bet has been successful in four out of Lorient’s six matches.