Match Introduction

The 10th round of will feature a clash between Le Havre and Brest, set to take place on October 29 at the Stade Océane. This preview offers a unique prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for the Le Havre vs Brest encounter.

Le Havre’s Recent Form

Under the guidance of Didier Digard, Le Havre secured a crucial 1-0 away victory against Auxerre in their last league outing. This marked only their second win of the current campaign and successfully brought an end to a five-match winless streak in the championship, which included three draws and two defeats. This result saw the club climb to 14th in the league standings, creating a two-point buffer from the relegation zone.  

Le Havre: Key Statistics

• Le Havre has failed to win in 7 of their last 9 league matches (3 draws, 4 losses).
• Both teams have scored in 12 of Le Havre’s last 15 encounters.
• At least three goals have been scored in 6 of the team’s last 8 home fixtures in the championship.

Le Havre’s Probable Starting XI (5-3-2)* 

Mory Diaw – Etienne Kinkoue, Yanis Zouaoui, Arouna Sangante, Loic Nego, Ayumu Seko – Rassoul Ndiaye, Abdoulaye Touré, Yassine Kechta – Mbwana Samatta, Issa Soumaré.  

Brest’s Performance Analysis

Brest has been unable to register a victory in their last three consecutive league matches. Eric Roy’s squad first played to draws against Nantes (0-0) and Lorient (3-3), before suffering a significant 0-3 home defeat to PSG. The team currently occupies 12th place, marginally ahead of Le Havre on goal difference and other tie-breaking criteria. It’s also worth noting that Brest’s matches are among the most high-scoring in the league, averaging 3.4 goals per game. 

Brest: Key Statistics

• Brest has secured only 2 wins in their last 10 championship games (3 draws, 5 losses).
• Away from home, Brest has failed to win in 6 of their last 7 matches (2 draws, 4 losses).
• A minimum of 3 goals has been scored in 7 of the Breton side’s last 9 away fixtures in the league.

Brest’s Probable Starting XI (4-4-2)* 

Radoslaw Majecki – Bradley Locko, Soumaila Coulibaly, Kenny Lala, Junior Diaz – Joris Chotard, Romain Del Castillo, Hugo Magnetti, Eric Dina Ebimbe – Pape Mboup, Ludovic Ajorque.

The Referee: Benoît Millot

Benoît Millot (France)

Referee Statistics

Matches officiated: 20 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows): 72;

Average yellow cards per match: 3.6;

Red cards shown: 8;

Average fouls per match: 25;

Penalties awarded: 35% of decisions. 

Match Prediction: Le Havre – Brest

Overall Match Analysis

This encounter pits two closely matched opponents against each other, both sitting in adjacent positions in the league standings and dangerously close to the bottom three. Both teams will be eager to improve their situation and secure three crucial points, which will require them to demonstrate an assertive attacking display. While both clubs have shown capability in offense, their defenses present a notable weakness, with each conceding an average of 1.8-1.9 goals per match in the championship.

Betting Tip and Justification

I anticipate that this match will feature three or more goals. This level of goal-scoring has been observed in four of Le Havre’s last five home games in and in seven of Brest’s previous nine away fixtures in the championship. Furthermore, Le Havre boasts an impressive 11-match scoring streak at home in , while the Breton side has found the net in seven of their last nine away league outings.

My prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Disclaimer

*The starting lineup provided for each team reflects their formation in their previous match in this competition.