Match Overview

The English Matchday 6 fixture between Newcastle United and Arsenal FC is scheduled for September 28 at St. James’ Park. This comprehensive match preview includes predictions, betting insights, and statistical analysis for Newcastle vs. Arsenal.

Newcastle United’s Current Form

Eddie Howe’s squad secured a goalless draw against Bournemouth in their last away fixture. The team remains unbeaten in their previous three league matches (1 win, 2 draws), notably keeping clean sheets throughout this period. In fact, Newcastle leads the league with four clean sheets. However, goal-scoring has been a significant challenge, with the team netting only three times; only Aston Villa (1) has a worse record. Currently, Eddie Howe’s men sit in 13th place in the standings.

• Fewer than three goals were scored in 8 of the club’s last 9 matches.
• At home in this tournament, Newcastle has won 7 of their previous 9 league encounters (2 losses).
• The club scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 home league games.

Newcastle United’s Probable Starting XI (5-4-1)*

Nick Pope – Malick Thiaw, Valentino Livramento, Lewis Hall, Dan Burn, Sven Botman – Jacob Murphy, Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Joseph Willock – Nick Woltemade.

Due to injuries, midfielder Jacob Ramsey and forward Yoane Wissa will miss the match.

Arsenal FC Form Analysis

The Gunners narrowly avoided defeat in their previous match against Manchester City, securing a 1-1 draw in the dying moments. The goal conceded was only the second for Mikel Arteta’s side this season, making their defensive record unmatched in the league. With three clean sheets, Arsenal trails only their upcoming opponent, Newcastle. Accumulating 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw), the club currently holds second place in the league table, five points behind leaders Liverpool.

• Arsenal opened the scoring in 5 of their last 7 fixtures.
• Away from home, the team has avoided defeat in 15 of their last 16 league matches (8 wins, 7 draws).
• In 5 of their last 7 away games, Arsenal scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.

Arsenal FC’s Probable Starting XI (4-3-3)*

David Raya – Gabriel Magalhaes, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Riccardo Calafiori – Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Mikel Merino – Leandro Trossard, Noni Madueke, Viktor Gyökeres.

Forwards Kai Havertz, Noni Madueke, and Gabriel Jesus are currently injured.

Match Official

Jarred Gillett (England)

Matches officiated – 19 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 74;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 21%.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Match Prediction

In the previous season, Eddie Howe’s side was fourth in terms of goal-scoring prowess. This season, however, the team faces significant challenges in creating and converting chances. Newcastle has managed to score only three goals, with one coming against bottom-placed Wolverhampton. The team largely earns points through its robust defense. Their four clean sheets are a league-best, and at home, they’ve conceded no more than one goal in seven of their last eight encounters.

Half of Arsenal’s goals this season came in their fixture against Leeds. Another three goals were scored against Nottingham Forest. It is unlikely they will achieve such high offensive output against a defensively solid Newcastle, which boasts the best xGA (Expected Goals Against) in the tournament. Interestingly, Mikel Arteta’s team holds the second-best record in this metric.

Furthermore, fewer than three goals have been scored in the last six head-to-head matches at St. James’ Park in the . This further supports the prediction of ‘Total Goals Under 2.5’.

Author: Aleksey Tarabrin

* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this competition.