Manchester United
04.10.2025 17:00 (GMT+2)
Sunderland
[1] - 1.51
Х - 4.61
[2] - 6.20
1$
1.51
1$
6.20

Manchester United — Sunderland : Match Preview and Prediction for October 04,2025

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Manchester United vs Sunderland: Premier League Clash Preview

Match Overview

The 7th round match between Manchester United and Sunderland is scheduled for October 4th at Old Trafford. This preview provides a unique match prediction, delves into statistics, and outlines potential outcomes for the Manchester United vs Sunderland encounter.

Manchester United’s Current Form

The team suffered an away defeat to Brentford (1:3) in their last league fixture. The Red Devils have secured only three victories in their last 15 championship matches (3 draws, 9 losses). Notably, Ruben Amorim’s side has conceded goals in all of their Premier League 2025/26 encounters, with at least two goals finding Manchester United’s net in 3 of their last 4 games. The club has slipped to 14th place in the league standings.

  • Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester United’s last 5 Premier League matches.
  • At home, the team has a 6-match uncompromising streak in this tournament (3 wins, 3 losses).
  • In 5 of their previous 6 home Premier League games, the club conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.

Manchester United’s Probable Lineup (3-4-3)*

Altay Bayindir – Diogo Dalot, Matthijs de Ligt, Luke Shaw – Harry Maguire, Patrick Dorgu, Bruno Fernandes, Manuel Ugarte – Bryan Mbeumo, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko.

Team News: Manchester United Injuries and Suspensions

Defender Lisandro Martinez is sidelined due to injury. Midfielder Casemiro is suspended.

Sunderland’s Performance Analysis

Régis Le Bris’s squad secured an away victory against Nottingham Forest (1:0) in the previous round, extending their unbeaten league run to four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). Over this period, Sunderland has conceded only two goals, with a total of four goals against them this season – a better defensive record than all but Arsenal and Crystal Palace (who have conceded 3 each). However, the team’s offense appears modest: their seven successful strikes represent the lowest figure among the top half of the league table, where Sunderland currently sits in 5th position.

 
  • The club has scored in 5 of its last 7 Premier League matches.
  • Away from home, the team has failed to win in 8 of its last 10 league games (1 draw, 7 losses).
  • At least one opponent has failed to score in 11 of Sunderland’s last 12 away matches in this tournament.

Sunderland’s Probable Lineup (4-3-3)*

Robin Roefs – Nordi Mukiele, Omar Alderete, Arthur Masuaku, Tray Hum – Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Chris Rigg – Chemsdine Talbi, Enzo Le Fée, Wilson Isidor.

Match Official

Stuart Attwell (England)

Matches officiated – 23 (EPL, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 96;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 17%.

Match Prediction: Manchester United vs Sunderland

Bookmakers favor Manchester United in this upcoming fixture. However, Ruben Amorim’s men have only managed to justify their favorite status in the current championship against Burnley, a team currently in the relegation zone. Even in that match, the decisive goal was scored just moments before the final whistle. Manchester United’s results are far from impressive, even in home games: in their last 11 Premier League matches, the club has secured only 4 victories (2 draws, 5 defeats), with three of these wins being by a narrow one-goal margin.

Sunderland’s Resilient Form

Newly promoted Sunderland appears more confident than their upcoming opponent. Régis Le Bris’s side has suffered only one defeat this season (3 wins, 2 draws). Furthermore, for three consecutive rounds, the team has managed to take points from England’s European-competition contenders. The club’s defense is particularly noteworthy, ranking among the top 4 in the league for reliability. This defensive strength should aid the visitors in their clash against Manchester United, who have struggled with goal-scoring, with almost half of their goals coming against a league outsider.

 

My Final Prediction

My prediction for this match is: “Sunderland with a (+1.5) handicap”

 

Author

Author: Aleksey Tarabrin

 

Note on Lineups

* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is indicated.

Expert Forecasts: Manchester United — Sunderland October 4, 2025

Sergey Zimarin
р
Sergey Zimarin
127 / 15 / 109 / ROI -3.5%

Ruben Amorim has one last match out of three to rectify the team’s position, but it seems far from reach – they are currently 14th. A victory against Sunderland would theoretically lift Manchester United to eighth place, but is it truly possible for six teams above them to suddenly step aside?

Thus, it’s quite possible that this Saturday we will witness the last match for Manchester United under the Portuguese manager. In the first two of these rectification matches, the team secured 50% of the points: a victory against Chelsea (2:1) and a defeat to Brentford (1:3). Dealing with a Premier League mid-table team proved more challenging than facing one of the financial giants. Manchester United possesses the sixth most valuable squad, yet they have fallen behind so many clubs that are nowhere near their capabilities.

And Sunderland is among them. With the second-lowest squad value, they are having the fifth most successful start after six rounds. So far, only Burnley (0:2), who knows the ‘Black Cats’ well from the previous Championship season, has managed to stop them. Other opponents have been limited to a draw at best. It’s noticeable that many rivals faced a crisis at the start of the season, such as Aston Villa (1:1). But aren’t the ‘Red Devils’ also in crisis?

Manchester United and Sunderland have scored the same number of goals – seven each, but the latter has a significant advantage. Thanks to 22-year-old Robin Roefs and his teammates, the Premier League newcomer has conceded only four goals, whereas Altay Bayindir, who is five years his senior, has already conceded 11. If the Turkish goalkeeper is in goal again, there’s less confidence in him, which is why I’m only taking the positive handicap for the visitors.

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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